Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United prediction
Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United are playing on England
Bristol Rovers
DATE:
15 February 2022 at 22:45:00
Sutton United
COUNTRY:
England
LEAGUE
League Two
TIME:
10:45 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
2.61
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.21
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
2.71
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match, we are well convinced that Bristol Rovers is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Sutton United. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.74% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 54.76% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 43.75% chance for a home win outcome. This Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.51 with an implied bookmaker probability of 66.23%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match is 54.42%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -11.81%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.51 where 1.51 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United, EV(Home Win) to be 54.42% * 100 * 1.51, which translates to 36.58. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Bristol Rovers and Sutton United have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.00% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 58.38% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 58.36% chance for a gg outcome. This Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.08 with an implied bookmaker probability of 48.08%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match is 57.58%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.51%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 2.08 where 2.08 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United, EV(GG) to be 57.58% * 100 * 2.08, which translates to 77.35. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 82.66% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 80.92% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 78.66% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.28666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 77.72%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match is 80.75%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.03%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.28666666666667 where 1.28666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Bristol Rovers vs Sutton United, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 80.75% * 100 * 1.28, which translates to 84.64. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
49%
AVR. ODDS:
1.84
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
51%
1.86
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.39
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
3.8
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
2.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
54%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.67
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
76%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BRISTOL ROVERS VS SUTTON UNITED PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
BRISTOL ROVERS VS SUTTON UNITED LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Sutton United and Bristol Rovers have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Sutton United vs Bristol Rovers prediction.
02-May-2022 - Sutton United [1 : 1] Bristol Rovers
12-Apr-2021 - Bristol Rovers [2 : 1] Sutton United
07-Dec-2015 - Sutton United [1 : 2] Bristol Rovers
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
BRISTOL ROVERS'S LAST 10 MATCHES
BRISTOL ROVERS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Bristol Rovers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bristol Rovers drew with Mansfield (0-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Oldham won against Bristol Rovers (2-1) on 02-Aug-2022
Sutton United drew with Bristol Rovers (1-1) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Bristol Rovers won against Walsall (1-0) on 29/01/22
Scunthorpe lost to Bristol Rovers (2-3) on 25/01/22
Swindon drew with Bristol Rovers (1-1) on 22/01/22
Then Bristol Rovers won against Hartlepool (2-0) on 15/01/22
Peterborough won against Bristol Rovers (2-1) on 01-Aug-2022
Bristol Rovers won against Rochdale (4-2) on 12-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Bristol Rovers lost to Port Vale (1-2) on 12-Jul-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
BRISTOL ROVERS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Bristol Rovers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sutton United drew with Forest Green (1-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Sutton United drew with Salford (0-0) on 02-Aug-2022
Sutton United drew with Bristol Rovers (1-1) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Carlisle lost to Sutton United (0-2) on 29/01/22
Sutton United won against Harrogate (1-0) on 25/01/22
Sutton United drew with Northampton (0-0) on 22/01/22
Then Sutton United won against Colchester (3-2) on 18/01/22
Stevenage drew with Sutton United (3-3) on 15/01/22
Sutton United won against Colchester (2-1) on 01-Apr-2022
In the earliest match listed here Sutton United won against Exeter (2-1) on 01-Jan-2022
BRISTOL ROVERS POSITION
BRISTOL ROVERS'S POSITION
Bristol Rovers is in position 14 with 38 points from 28 matches. They are below Harrogate who have 38 points and above Hartlepool who have 37 points.
Bristol Rovers have scored 36 goals and conceded 39 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.
SUTTON UNITED POSITION
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