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HULL CITY vs DERBY OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Hull City vs Derby OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, Championshipmatch on 18-Aug-2021

Hull City

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تاريخ:

18 August 2021 at 21:45:00

Derby

بلد:

England

الدوري

Championship

زمن:

9:45 PM

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1X2 التنبؤ

الرئيسية اربح:

33%

AVR. احتمال:

1.89

VALUEBET؟

Not a Value Bet

رسم:

29%

AVR. احتمال:

3.49

VALUEBET؟

Value Bet

الفوز بعيدًا:

38%

AVR. احتمال:

3.99

VALUEBET؟

Value Bet

نصائح الخبراء لهذه المباراة

Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Hull City vs Derby. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. 



All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Hull City vs Derby match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 71.33% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 64.05% chance for the same. Finally, 55.34% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. 



The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.30065359477124 with an implied bookmaker probability of 76.88%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Hull City vs Derby match is 63.57%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -13.31%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 



By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Hull City vs Derby match is 46.25 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

HULL CITY vs DERBY OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

مشاركة هذه الصفحة مع أصدقائك.

تنبؤ GG / NG (BTTS)

GG (BTTS):

43%

AVR. احتمال:

1.87

VALUEBET؟

Not a Value Bet

لا هدف:

AVR. احتمال:

57%

1.84

VALUEBET؟

Value Bet

أكثر / أقل من 1.5 هدف التنبؤ

أكثر من 1.5:

40٪

AVR. احتمال:

1.3

VALUEBET؟

Not a Value Bet

أقل من 1.5:

36%

AVR. احتمال:

3.15

VALUEBET؟

Value Bet

أكثر / أقل من 2.5 هدف التنبؤ

أكثر من 2.5:

37%

AVR. احتمال:

1.99

VALUEBET؟

Not a Value Bet

أقل من 2.5:

AVR. احتمال:

VALUEBET؟

63%

1.73

Value Bet

أكثر / أقل من 3.5 أهداف التنبؤ

أكثر من 3.5:

18%

AVR. احتمال:

3.49

VALUEBET؟

Not a Value Bet

أقل من 3.5:

82%

AVR. احتمال:

1.29

VALUEBET؟

Value Bet

إحصائيات المباراة وتحليلها

HULL CITY VS DERBY LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Derby County and Hull have met 6 times recently since 26/12/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Derby County vs Hull prediction.
18/01/20 - Derby County [1 : 0] Hull
26/10/19 - Hull [2 : 0] Derby County
02-Sep-2019 - Derby County [2 : 0] Hull
09-Jan-2018 - Hull [1 : 2] Derby County
28/08/18 - Hull [0 : 4] Derby County
26/12/17 - Hull [0 : 0] Derby County

HULL CITY LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Hull City's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Hull lost to QPR (0-3) on 14/08/21
Then Hull lost to Wigan (7-8) on 08-Oct-2021
Preston lost to Hull (1-4) on 08-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Sunderland won against Hull (2-1) on 30/07/21
Charlton won against Hull (1-0) on 05-Sep-2021
Hull won against Wigan (3-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Then Lincoln lost to Hull (1-2) on 24/04/21
Hull drew with Sunderland (2-2) on 20/04/21
Hull won against Fleetwood (2-1) on 17/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Plymouth lost to Hull (0-3) on 04-Oct-2021

المباريات الأخيرة - فريق بعيد

Below are Derby's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Peterborough won against Derby County (2-1) on 14/08/21
Derby County won against Salford (5-3) on 08-Oct-2021
Then Derby County drew with Huddersfield (1-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Notts County lost to Derby County (0-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Derby County won against Real Betis Sevilla (1-0) on 28/07/21
Then Salford won against Derby County (2-1) on 24/07/21
Derby County lost to Man Utd (1-2) on 18/07/21
Derby County drew with Sheffield Wed (3-3) on 05-Aug-2021
Once more Swansea won against Derby County (2-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Derby County lost to Birmingham (1-2) on 24/04/21

HULL CITY'S POSITION

Hull is in position 12 with 3 points from 2 matches. They are below Luton who have 3 points and above Reading who have 3 points.
have scored 4 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

DERBY'S POSITION

Derby County is in position 17 with 1 points from 2 matches. They are below Bristol City who have 1 points and above Swansea who have 1 points.
Derby have scored 2 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

تطوير

التسعير

انظر أدناه ما تحصل عليه عند الترقية

 

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  • 15 على الأقل  مباريات ثابتة يوميا

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