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Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet prediction

Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet are playing on England Amateur

Welling

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Dulwich Hamlet

DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

TIME:

10:45 PM

COUNTRY:

England Amateur

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LEAGUE

National League South

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

4.61

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

3.94

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

66%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Dulwich Hamlet is expected to outperform Welling in this match. Home advantage may not help Welling in this game. With odds of 2.31 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 40.47% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 40.65% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 40.73% chance for a away win outcome. This Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.31 with an implied bookmaker probability of 43.29%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match is 40.62%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -2.67%. Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 2.31 where 2.31 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet, EV(Away Win) to be 40.62% * 100 * 2.31, which translates to 34.45. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Welling and Dulwich Hamlet have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 80.52% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 78.72% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 76.41% chance for a gg outcome. This Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.51 with an implied bookmaker probability of 66.23%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match is 78.55%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 12.32%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.51 where 1.51 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet, EV(GG) to be 78.55% * 100 * 1.51, which translates to 97.15. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 92.44% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 91.97% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 91.03% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.06666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 93.75%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match is 91.81%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -1.94%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.06666666666667 where 1.06666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 91.81% * 100 * 1.06, which translates to 89.74. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Welling vs Dulwich Hamlet prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

2.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

2.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

41%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

WELLING VS DULWICH HAMLET PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

WELLING VS DULWICH HAMLET LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Dulwich and Welling have met 6 times recently since 24/11/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Dulwich vs Welling prediction.
01-Feb-2022 - Dulwich [0 : 1] Welling
15/02/20 - Dulwich [0 : 1] Welling
11-Dec-2019 - Welling [0 : 0] Dulwich
02-Sep-2019 - Dulwich [2 : 1] Welling
28/11/18 - Dulwich [2 : 1] Welling
24/11/18 - Welling [1 : 1] Dulwich

WELLING'S LAST 10 MATCHES

WELLING LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Welling's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Welling won against Chippenham (1-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Dartford won against Welling (4-2) on 02-May-2022
Braintree drew with Welling (2-2) on 25/01/22
Not surprisingly Welling lost to Oxford (0-1) on 22/01/22
Chelmsford drew with Welling (0-0) on 15/01/22
Welling lost to St Albans (2-3) on 01-Aug-2022
Then Dulwich lost to Welling (0-1) on 01-Feb-2022
Maidstone won against Welling (4-1) on 28/12/21
Dorking Wanderers won against Welling (3-1) on 12-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Welling lost to Eastbourne (0-2) on 12-Apr-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

WELLING LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Welling's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Billericay won against Dulwich (2-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Slough Town lost to Dulwich (1-2) on 02-Aug-2022
Dulwich lost to Chelmsford (1-3) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Hungerford won against Dulwich (3-1) on 29/01/22
Dulwich drew with Eastbourne (1-1) on 25/01/22
Dulwich won against Concord Rangers (4-1) on 22/01/22
Then Dulwich lost to Dorking Wanderers (1-3) on 18/01/22
Dartford drew with Dulwich (1-1) on 01-Aug-2022
Dulwich lost to Welling (0-1) on 01-Feb-2022
In the earliest match listed here Parkway won against Dulwich (4-3) on 18/12/21

WELLING POSITION

WELLING'S POSITION
Welling is in position 19 with 25 points from 25 matches. They are below Tonbridge who have 25 points and above Braintree who have 22 points.
Welling have scored 25 goals and conceded 56 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -31 goals this season.

DULWICH HAMLET POSITION

WELLING BEST PLAYERS

0

DULWICH HAMLET BEST PLAYERS

0

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