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Union Espanola vs Union La Calera Prediction

Union Espanola vs Union La Calera Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Union Espanola vs Union La Calera are playing on Chile

Union Espanola

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Union La Calera

DATE:

30 May 2022 at 03:00:00

TIME:

3:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Chile

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LEAGUE

Primera Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

2.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.07

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match, we are well convinced that Union Espanola is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Union La Calera. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 45.55% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 48.62% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 50.85% chance for a home win outcome. This Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.73 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.80%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is 48.34%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.46%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.73 where 1.73 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera, EV(Home Win) to be 48.34% * 100 * 1.73, which translates to 31.97. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. DRAW TIPS AWAY WIN TIPS GG TIPS NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.22% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 68.74% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 78.02% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.2 with an implied bookmaker probability of 83.33%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is 67.66%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -15.68%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.2 where 1.2 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 67.66% * 100 * 1.2, which translates to 48.84. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Union Espanola vs Union La Calera Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

56%

AVR. ODDS:

1.62

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

3.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

68%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

UNION ESPANOLA VS UNION LA CALERA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

GIMNASIA JUJUY VS ALMIRANTE BROWN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Almirante Brown and Gimnasia Jujuy have met 6 times recently since 28/11/11. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Almirante Brown vs Gimnasia Jujuy prediction.
24/03/14 - Almirante Brown [1 : 3] Gimnasia Jujuy
21/09/13 - Gimnasia Jujuy [3 : 0] Almirante Brown
24/03/13 - Almirante Brown [0 : 1] Gimnasia Jujuy
23/09/12 - Gimnasia Jujuy [1 : 0] Almirante Brown
26/05/12 - Almirante Brown [2 : 1] Gimnasia Jujuy
28/11/11 - Gimnasia Jujuy [1 : 2] Almirante Brown

UNION ESPANOLA'S LAST 10 MATCHES

GIMNASIA JUJUY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Gimnasia Jujuy's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Villa Dalmine won against Gimnasia Jujuy (3-0) on 21/05/22
Then Gimnasia Jujuy won against Belgrano (1-0) on 16/05/22
Dep. Riestra lost to Gimnasia Jujuy (0-4) on 05-Jul-2022
Not surprisingly Gimnasia Jujuy lost to Guemes (0-2) on 05-Jan-2022
All Boys won against Gimnasia Jujuy (2-0) on 24/04/22
Gimnasia Jujuy lost to Gimnasia Mendoza (0-3) on 17/04/22
Then San Telmo drew with Gimnasia Jujuy (0-0) on 04-Oct-2022
Central Cordoba lost to Gimnasia Jujuy (3-4) on 04-Jun-2022
Gimnasia Jujuy drew with Chaco For Ever (1-1) on 04-Feb-2022
In the earliest match listed here San Martin won against Gimnasia Jujuy (3-0) on 27/03/22

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

GIMNASIA JUJUY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Gimnasia Jujuy's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Almirante Brown drew with Villa Dalmine (2-2) on 17/05/22
Then Belgrano won against Almirante Brown (1-0) on 05-Aug-2022
Almirante Brown drew with Dep. Riestra (1-1) on 05-Jan-2022
Not surprisingly Guemes won against Almirante Brown (2-1) on 25/04/22
Almirante Brown drew with All Boys (2-2) on 17/04/22
Gimnasia Mendoza won against Almirante Brown (1-0) on 04-Sep-2022
Then Almirante Brown drew with San Telmo (1-1) on 04-Mar-2022
Chaco For Ever drew with Almirante Brown (0-0) on 28/03/22
Almirante Brown won against San Martin (1-0) on 23/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Atletico Atlanta drew with Almirante Brown (1-1) on 17/03/22

UNION ESPANOLA POSITION

GIMNASIA JUJUY'S POSITION
Gimnasia Jujuy is in position 26 with 17 points from 16 matches. They are below Atletico Atlanta who have 17 points and above Ferro Carri who have 16 points.
Gimnasia Jujuy have scored 14 goals and conceded 23 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.

UNION LA CALERA POSITION

ALMIRANTE BROWN'S POSITION
Almirante Brown is in position 21 with 19 points from 15 matches. They are below Alvarado who have 20 points and above Chicago who have 19 points.
Almirante Brown have scored 18 goals and conceded 18 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

UNION ESPANOLA BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

UNION LA CALERA BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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