UNION ESPANOLA vs HUACHIPATO SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Union Espanola vs Huachipato sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Premier Division match on 28-Jul-2021
Union Espanola
DATE:
28 July 2021 at 22:30:00
Huachipato
COUNTRY:
Chile
LEAGUE
Primera Division
TIME:
10:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
2.02
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.59
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
50%
AVR. ODDS:
3.02
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Union Espanola vs Huachipato match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.82% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 51.13% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 45.20% chance for a away win outcome. This Union Espanola vs Huachipato match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.02 with an implied bookmaker probability of 33.11%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Union Espanola vs Huachipato match is 50.05%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 16.94%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Union Espanola vs Huachipato match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 3.02 where 3.02 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Union Espanola vs Huachipato, EV(Away Win) to be 50.05% * 100 * 3.02, which translates to 101.2.
This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.Huachipato is expected to outperform Union Espanola in this match. Home advantage may not help Union Espanola in this game. With odds of 3.02 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
70%
AVR. ODDS:
1.56
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
27%
2.27
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.07
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
11%
AVR. ODDS:
3.91
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
72%
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
25%
2.15
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
54%
AVR. ODDS:
2.86
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.6
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
UNION ESPANOLA VS HUACHIPATO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Huachipato and Union Espanola have met 6 times recently since 27/08/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Huachipato vs Union Espanola prediction.
19/01/21 - Huachipato [4 : 1] Union Espanola
16/03/20 - Union Espanola [4 : 4] Huachipato
16/03/19 - Union Espanola [2 : 1] Huachipato
28/07/18 - Huachipato [1 : 1] Union Espanola
21/04/18 - Union Espanola [2 : 1] Huachipato
27/08/17 - Huachipato [0 : 1] Union Espanola
UNION ESPANOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Union Espanola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Everton won against Union Espanola (2-0) on 24/07/21
Then Union Espanola won against Magallanes (1-0) on 07-Dec-2021
Magallanes lost to Union Espanola (0-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Not surprisingly Union Espanola lost to Puerto Montt (2-3) on 27/06/21
Puerto Montt lost to Union Espanola (0-2) on 23/06/21
Union Espanola drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Then Curico lost to Union Espanola (1-2) on 29/05/21
Union Espanola won against Universidad Catolica (3-2) on 23/05/21
OHiggins lost to Union Espanola (1-4) on 05-Aug-2021
In the earliest match listed here Union Espanola drew with Audax (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Huachipato's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Huachipato drew with Deportes La Serena (0-0) on 25/07/21
Audax drew with Huachipato (3-3) on 20/07/21
Then Palestino won against Huachipato (2-0) on 15/07/21
Huachipato won against Temuco (2-0) on 07-May-2021
Temuco drew with Huachipato (2-2) on 07-Jan-2021
Then Huachipato won against San Antonio Unido (3-2) on 26/06/21
San Antonio Unido drew with Huachipato (0-0) on 23/06/21
Huachipato drew with Everton (0-0) on 06-Jun-2021
Once more Antofagasta won against Huachipato (1-0) on 31/05/21
Huachipato lost to San Lorenzo (0-3) on 27/05/21
UNION ESPANOLA'S POSITION
Union Espanola is in position 11 with 15 points from 11 matches. They are below Antofagasta who have 16 points and above Melipilla who have 15 points.
have scored 15 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
HUACHIPATO'S POSITION
Huachipato is in position 15 with 9 points from 11 matches. They are below Cobresal who have 12 points and above Curico who have 6 points.
Huachipato have scored 11 goals and conceded 15 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.
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