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TSV HAVELSE vs VIKTORIA KOLN SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Tsv Havelse vs Viktoria Koln sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany, 3rd Liga match on 17-Sep-2021

Tsv Havelse

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Viktoria Koln

DATE:

17 September 2021 at 20:00:00

TIME:

8:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Germany

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LEAGUE

3rd Liga

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

4.57

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.68

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Tsv Havelse and Viktoria Koln have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 



I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Tsv Havelse vs Viktoria Koln match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 54.35% probability for a GG outcome. 




The ELO Ratings model came through with a 59.96% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 63.69% chance for a gg outcome. This Tsv Havelse vs Viktoria Koln match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. 




Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.79 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.87%. 




The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Tsv Havelse vs Viktoria Koln match is 59.33%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.47%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Tsv Havelse vs Viktoria Koln match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.79 where 1.79 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Tsv Havelse vs Viktoria Koln, EV(GG) to be 59.33% * 100 * 1.79, which translates to 65.53. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

TSV HAVELSE vs VIKTORIA KOLN SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

3.42

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.83

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.88

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.21

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

TSV HAVELSE VS VIKTORIA KOLN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

TSV HAVELSE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Tsv Havelse's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Wurzburg drew with Havelse (0-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Then Havelse lost to Dortmund II (0-1) on 09-May-2021
Meppen won against Havelse (1-0) on 30/08/21
Not surprisingly Havelse lost to Turkgucu Munich (0-3) on 25/08/21
Wiesbaden won against Havelse (2-1) on 22/08/21
Havelse lost to Magdeburg (1-3) on 14/08/21
Then Duisburg won against Havelse (3-0) on 08-Aug-2021
Havelse lost to Saarbrucken (0-1) on 24/07/21
Havelse won against Schweinfurt (1-0) on 19/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Schweinfurt lost to Havelse (0-1) on 06-Dec-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Viktoria Koln's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Viktoria Cologne drew with Saarbrucken (0-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Osnabruck won against Viktoria Cologne (3-0) on 09-Jun-2021
Then Viktoria Cologne won against Freiburg II (3-1) on 28/08/21
1860 Munich won against Viktoria Cologne (3-0) on 24/08/21
Viktoria Cologne lost to Mannheim (2-3) on 21/08/21
Then Verl won against Viktoria Cologne (3-1) on 14/08/21
Viktoria Cologne lost to Hoffenheim (2-3) on 08-Sep-2021
Viktoria Cologne drew with Zwickau (1-1) on 31/07/21
Once more Viktoria Berlin won against Viktoria Cologne (2-1) on 25/07/21
Mgladbach drew with Viktoria Cologne (2-2) on 07-Oct-2021

TSV HAVELSE'S POSITION

Havelse is in position 20 with 1 points from 8 matches. They are below Wurzburg who have 4 points and above who have points.
have scored 2 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -12 goals this season.

VIKTORIA KOLN'S POSITION

Viktoria Cologne is in position 17 with 5 points from 8 matches. They are below Kaiserslautern who have 6 points and above Zwickau who have 4 points.
Viktoria Koln have scored 8 goals and conceded 16 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -8 goals this season.

TSV HAVELSE'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

VIKTORIA KOLN'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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