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TRANMERE vs COLCHESTER 2 GOALS SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Tranmere vs Colchester 2 GOALS sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, League Twomatch on 08-Oct-2021

Tranmere

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DATE:

8 October 2021 at 21:45:00

Colchester

COUNTRY:

England

LEAGUE

League Two

TIME:

9:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.25

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

2 goals are expected to be scored in this match. If you prefer betting on this total goals betting market which usually comes with impressive odds then this is your best prediction. HOME vs Colchester has always been a low scoring duel and not much is expected to change in this game. 



This bet comes with a probability of 0.219349505433696 and odds of 3.88. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible 2 goals in this Tranmere vs Colchester match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 25.06% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 24.74% chance for the same. Finally, 24.41% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in 2 goals. 



This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a 2 goals in this game. The odds for 2 Goals outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 3.86 with an implied bookmaker probability of 25.91%. 





Considering that the surebet probability for the 2 Goals outcome for this Tranmere vs Colchester match is 24.74%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -1.17%The expected value for a 2 GOALS prediction is denoted as EV(2 GOALS) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a 2 GOALS in this Tranmere vs Colchester match is 20.22 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

TRANMERE vs COLCHESTER 2 GOALS SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

52%

AVR. ODDS:

2.09

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

48%

1.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.71

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

50%

1.49

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

4.3

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

TRANMERE VS COLCHESTER LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Tranmere and Colchester have met 6 times recently since 30/11/13. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Tranmere vs Colchester prediction.
05-Aug-2021 - Tranmere [0 : 0] Colchester
23/03/21 - Colchester [2 : 2] Tranmere
23/03/19 - Colchester [0 : 2] Tranmere
09-Aug-2018 - Tranmere [1 : 1] Colchester
04-May-2014 - Colchester [1 : 2] Tranmere
30/11/13 - Tranmere [2 : 1] Colchester

TRANMERE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Tranmere's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Tranmere won against Crawley (2-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Then Forest Green drew with Tranmere (0-0) on 25/09/21
Tranmere won against Salford (2-0) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Tranmere won against Leeds United U21 (4-1) on 14/09/21
Rochdale won against Tranmere (1-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Tranmere won against Hartlepool (1-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Then Scunthorpe won against Tranmere (1-0) on 28/08/21
Tranmere lost to Newport County (0-1) on 21/08/21
Swindon drew with Tranmere (0-0) on 17/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Port Vale drew with Tranmere (0-0) on 14/08/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Colchester's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Colchester lost to Salford (0-2) on 10-Feb-2021
Colchester won against West Ham U21 (1-0) on 28/09/21
Then Swindon drew with Colchester (0-0) on 25/09/21
Colchester lost to Crawley (0-1) on 18/09/21
Barrow AFC lost to Colchester (2-3) on 09-Oct-2021
Then Colchester lost to Gillingham (0-1) on 09-Jul-2021
Rochdale drew with Colchester (1-1) on 27/08/21
Oldham lost to Colchester (1-2) on 21/08/21
Once more Colchester drew with Mansfield (1-1) on 17/08/21
Colchester lost to Northampton (0-1) on 14/08/21

TRANMERE'S POSITION

Tranmere is in position 9 with 15 points from 10 matches. They are below Bradford who have 15 points and above Northampton who have 15 points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

COLCHESTER'S POSITION

Colchester is in position 18 with 10 points from 9 matches. They are below Stevenage who have 12 points and above Carlisle who have 10 points.
Colchester have scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

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