SPORTING BRAGA vs FC MIDTJYLLAND SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, UEFA Europa League match on 30-Sep-2021
Sporting Braga
DATE:
30 September 2021 at 22:00:00
Fc Midtjylland
COUNTRY:
International Clubs
LEAGUE
UEFA Europa League
TIME:
10:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
2.19
VALUEBET?
No
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
3.19
VALUEBET?
No
AWAY WIN:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
3.44
VALUEBET?
Yes
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.92% probability for a GG outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 62.76% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.60% chance for a gg outcome.
This Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.71 with an implied bookmaker probability of 58.48%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match is 60.76%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 2.28%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.71 where 1.71 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland, EV(GG) to be 60.76% * 100 * 1.71, which translates to 64.65. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Sporting Braga and Fc Midtjylland have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses.
I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
61%
AVR. ODDS:
1.71
VALUEBET?
Yes
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
39%
2.02
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.24
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 1.5:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
3.29
VALUEBET?
No
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
61%
AVR. ODDS:
1.9
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
38%
1.81
No
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
3.33
VALUEBET?
Yes
UNDER 3.5:
60%
AVR. ODDS:
1.35
VALUEBET?
No
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SPORTING BRAGA VS FC MIDTJYLLAND LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Currently no head to head
SPORTING BRAGA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sporting Braga's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Santa Clara Azores drew with Braga (1-1) on 26/09/21
Then Braga won against Tondela (3-1) on 20/09/21
Crvena Zvezda won against Braga (2-1) on 16/09/21
Not surprisingly Pacos Ferreira drew with Braga (0-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Braga drew with Guimaraes (0-0) on 29/08/21
Moreirense lost to Braga (2-3) on 20/08/21
Then Braga lost to Sporting Lisbon (1-2) on 14/08/21
Maritimo Madeira lost to Braga (0-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Sporting Lisbon won against Braga (2-1) on 31/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Braga won against Pacos Ferreira (2-1) on 24/07/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Fc Midtjylland's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Midtjylland won against Randers (1-0) on 26/09/21
Kjellerup lost to Midtjylland (0-5) on 22/09/21
Then Copenhagen lost to Midtjylland (0-1) on 19/09/21
Midtjylland drew with Ludogorets (1-1) on 16/09/21
Midtjylland won against Nordsjaelland (2-0) on 09-Oct-2021
Then Broendby won against Midtjylland (2-0) on 29/08/21
Midtjylland won against Silkeborg (3-0) on 20/08/21
Sonderjyske lost to Midtjylland (0-2) on 13/08/21
Once more Midtjylland lost to Eindhoven (0-1) on 08-Oct-2021
Midtjylland won against Vejle (4-1) on 08-Jun-2021
SPORTING BRAGA'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
FC MIDTJYLLAND'S POSITION
Currently no position listed
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