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RUSSIA vs SLOVAKIA SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Russia vs Slovakia sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International, World Cup Qualification, UEFA match on 08-Oct-2021

Russia

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Slovakia

DATE:

8 October 2021 at 21:45:00

TIME:

9:45 PM

COUNTRY:

International

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LEAGUE

World Cup Qualification, UEFA

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

4.7

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

To find if the Under 3.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied UNDER 3.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.1865671641791 with an implied bookmaker probability of 84.28%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Under 3.5 outcome for this Russia vs Slovakia match is 68.99%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -15.29%Expected Value, EV(UNDER 3.5), for a UNDER 3.5 result for this Russia vs Slovakia match is calculated as follows: Let P(UNDER 3.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(UNDER 3.5) * 100* 1.1865671641791 where 1.1865671641791 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a UNDER 3.5 for Russia vs Slovakia, EV(UNDER 3.5) to be 68.99% * 100 * 1.18, which translates to 50.85. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.Russia and Slovakia are expected to score a number of goals in this match. I do not, however, see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals. They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a under 3.5 in this Russia vs Slovakia match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 85.71% probability for a UNDER 3.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 69.38% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 51.88% chance for a under 3.5 outcome. This Russia vs Slovakia match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

RUSSIA vs SLOVAKIA SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.07

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

1.68

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.44

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

2.89

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.21

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.59

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

69%

AVR. ODDS:

1.19

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

RUSSIA VS SLOVAKIA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Slovakia and Russia have met 6 times recently since 10-Dec-2005. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Slovakia vs Russia prediction.
30/03/21 - Slovakia [2 : 1] Russia
15/06/16 - Russia [1 : 2] Slovakia
26/05/14 - Russia [1 : 0] Slovakia
10-Jul-2011 - Slovakia [0 : 1] Russia
09-Jul-2010 - Russia [0 : 1] Slovakia
10-Dec-2005 - Slovakia [0 : 0] Russia

RUSSIA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Russia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Russia won against Malta (2-0) on 09-Jul-2021
Then Cyprus lost to Russia (0-2) on 09-Apr-2021
Russia drew with Croatia (0-0) on 09-Jan-2021
Not surprisingly Russia lost to Denmark (1-4) on 21/06/21
Finland lost to Russia (0-1) on 16/06/21
Belgium won against Russia (3-0) on 06-Dec-2021
Then Russia won against Bulgaria (1-0) on 06-May-2021
Poland drew with Russia (1-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Slovakia won against Russia (2-1) on 30/03/21
In the earliest match listed here Russia won against Slovenia (2-1) on 27/03/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Slovakia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Slovakia won against Cyprus (2-0) on 09-Jul-2021
Slovakia lost to Croatia (0-1) on 09-Apr-2021
Then Slovenia drew with Slovakia (1-1) on 09-Jan-2021
Slovakia lost to Spain (0-5) on 23/06/21
Sweden won against Slovakia (1-0) on 18/06/21
Then Poland lost to Slovakia (1-2) on 14/06/21
Austria drew with Slovakia (0-0) on 06-Jun-2021
Slovakia drew with Bulgaria (1-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Once more Slovakia won against Russia (2-1) on 30/03/21
Slovakia drew with Malta (2-2) on 27/03/21

RUSSIA'S POSITION

Russia is in position 2 with 13 points from 6 matches. They are below Croatia who have 13 points and above who have points.
have scored 10 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 6 goals this season.

SLOVAKIA'S POSITION

Slovakia is in position 3 with 9 points from 6 matches. They are below who have points and above Slovenia who have 7 points.
Slovakia have scored 7 goals and conceded 5 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

RUSSIA'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Russia's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Artem Dzyuba - The Russia National Artem Dzyuba has scored 3 goals in 3 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 1.

Mario Fernandes - The Russia National Mario Fernandes has scored 2 goals in 4 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.5.

Fedor Smolov - The Russia National Fedor Smolov has scored 1 goals in 2 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.5.

Aleksandr Sobolev - The Russia National Aleksandr Sobolev has scored 1 goals in 2 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.

Aleksandr Yerokhin - The Russia National Aleksandr Yerokhin has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.

Zelimkhan Bakaev - The Russia National Zelimkhan Bakaev has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.

SLOVAKIA'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Slovakia players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Milan Skriniar - The Slovakia National Milan Skriniar has scored 2 goals in 6 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.33.

Robert Mak - The Slovakia National Robert Mak has scored 1 goals in 4 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.

Robert Bozenik - The Slovakia National Robert Bozenik has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.2.

Martin Koscelnik - The Slovakia National Martin Koscelnik has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.2.

Ivan Schranz - The Slovakia National Ivan Schranz has scored 1 goals in 6 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

David Strelec - The Slovakia National David Strelec has scored 1 goals in 6 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

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