Rionegro Aguilas Vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction
Rionegro Aguilas Vs Deportivo Pereira Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira are playing on 31/3/22. Surebetsite has the best tips for this game.
Rionegro Aguilas
DATE:
30 March 2022 at 02:00:00
Deportivo Pereira
COUNTRY:
Colombia
LEAGUE
Copa Postobon, Knockout stage
TIME:
2:00 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
16%
AVR. ODDS:
2.1
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
2.92
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
3.5
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
UNDER 3.5 PREDICTION
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible under 3.5 in this Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 79.93% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 83.86% chance for the same. Finally, 87.47% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in under 3.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a under 3.5 in this game.
The odds for Under 3.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.3134328358209 with an implied bookmaker probability of 76.14%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Under 3.5 outcome for this Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira match is 83.76%, then this bet is a value bet.
If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 7.62%. The expected value for a UNDER 3.5 prediction is denoted as EV(UNDER 3.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a UNDER 3.5 in this Rionegro Aguilas vs Deportivo Pereira match is 93.76 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
In as much as Rionegro Aguilas and Deportivo Pereira are expected to score some goals in this match, I do not see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals. They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
15%
AVR. ODDS:
2.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
85%
1.67
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
72%
AVR. ODDS:
4.44
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
9%
AVR. ODDS:
2.44
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
91%
1.76
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
2%
AVR. ODDS:
4.28
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
98%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
RIONEGRO AGUILAS VS DEPORTIVO PEREIRA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
KARAISKAKIS VS KISSAMIKOS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Chania and Karaiskakis have met 6 times recently since 17/04/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Chania vs Karaiskakis prediction.
29/12/21 - Chania [4 : 0] Karaiskakis
13/03/21 - Chania [1 : 0] Karaiskakis
24/01/21 - Karaiskakis [1 : 1] Chania
16/02/20 - Chania [5 : 1] Karaiskakis
24/11/19 - Karaiskakis [0 : 0] Chania
17/04/19 - Karaiskakis [0 : 0] Chania
RIONEGRO AGUILAS'S LAST 10 MATCHES
KARAISKAKIS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Karaiskakis's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Diagoras lost to Karaiskakis (0-1) on 26/03/22
Then Karaiskakis lost to AE Asteras Vlachioti (0-1) on 20/03/22
Ergotelis drew with Karaiskakis (0-0) on 13/03/22
Not surprisingly Karaiskakis drew with Panathinaikos B (1-1) on 03-May-2022
Karaiskakis won against Kallithea (1-0) on 03-Feb-2022
Kalamata won against Karaiskakis (2-0) on 27/02/22
Then Karaiskakis lost to AEK Athens B (0-1) on 19/02/22
AE Kifisia drew with Karaiskakis (0-0) on 16/02/22
Karaiskakis drew with Episkopi (0-0) on 13/02/22
In the earliest match listed here Karaiskakis won against Rodos (2-1) on 02-Jun-2022
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
KARAISKAKIS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Karaiskakis's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Chania won against Panathinaikos B (2-0) on 26/03/22
Then Kalamata drew with Chania (1-1) on 20/03/22
Chania won against AEK Athens B (2-1) on 03-Dec-2022
Not surprisingly AE Kifisia won against Chania (1-0) on 03-Sep-2022
Chania won against Episkopi (1-0) on 03-Jun-2022
Rodos lost to Chania (0-1) on 27/02/22
Then Chania won against Levadiakos (3-1) on 20/02/22
Pasa Irodotos drew with Chania (2-2) on 16/02/22
Chania won against Egaleo (1-0) on 13/02/22
In the earliest match listed here Chania won against AE Asteras Vlachioti (3-1) on 02-Sep-2022
RIONEGRO AGUILAS POSITION
KARAISKAKIS'S POSITION
Pierikos is in position 13 with 23 points from 24 matches. They are below Thesprotos who have 26 points and above Panseraikos FC who have 21 points.
Karaiskakis have scored 24 goals and conceded 33 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.
DEPORTIVO PEREIRA POSITION
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