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Proleter vs Metalac prediction - Fixed Match

Proleter vs Metalac prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Proleter vs Metalac are playing on 04-Dec-21

Proleter

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Metalac

DATE:

4 December 2021 at 17:00:00

TIME:

5:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Serbia

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LEAGUE

Superliga

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.54

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.48

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

2.64

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Proleter vs Metalac match, we are well convinced that Proleter is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Metalac.


The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips.


Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Proleter vs Metalac match.


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 45.16% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 48.43% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 51.96% chance for a home win outcome. This Proleter vs Metalac match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.67 with an implied bookmaker probability of 37.45%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Proleter vs Metalac match is 48.51%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 11.06%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Proleter vs Metalac match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.67 where 2.67 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Proleter vs Metalac, EV(Home Win) to be 48.51% * 100 * 2.67, which translates to 78.04.


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Proleter and Metalac have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game.


The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Proleter vs Metalac match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 76.10% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 71.98% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.58% chance for a gg outcome. 


This Proleter vs Metalac match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.55 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.52%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Proleter vs Metalac match is 71.55%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.03%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Proleter vs Metalac match is calculated as follows: 


Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.55 where 1.55 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Proleter vs Metalac, EV(GG) to be 71.55% * 100 * 1.55, which translates to 82.45. 


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of mathematically.

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

41%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

59%

AVR. ODDS:

2.09

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.27

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

1.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

3.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

83%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

PROLETER VS METALAC PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Metalac and Proleter have met 6 times recently since 20/09/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Metalac vs Proleter prediction.
08-Jul-2021 - Metalac [3 : 0] Proleter
21/02/21 - Proleter [1 : 2] Metalac
16/08/20 - Metalac [1 : 1] Proleter
21/04/18 - Proleter [2 : 3] Metalac
10-Aug-2017 - Metalac [1 : 2] Proleter
20/09/17 - Metalac [1 : 2] Proleter

PROLETER'S LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Proleter's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Novi Pazar won against Proleter (2-0) on 29/11/21
Then Proleter won against Vozdovac Belgrade (1-0) on 20/11/21
Partizan Belgrade drew with Proleter (0-0) on 11-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Proleter lost to Vojvodina Novi Sad (0-1) on 11-Jan-2021
OFK Backa won against Proleter (3-2) on 27/10/21
Cukaricki won against Proleter (6-1) on 22/10/21
Then Proleter won against TSC Backa Topola (1-0) on 17/10/21
Radnik lost to Proleter (0-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Proleter won against Napredak (1-0) on 27/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Spartak lost to Proleter (1-2) on 22/09/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Proleter's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Radnicki Beograd lost to Metalac (2-3) on 30/11/21
Then Metalac lost to Cukaricki (0-3) on 27/11/21
TSC Backa Topola lost to Metalac (1-2) on 19/11/21
Not surprisingly Metalac drew with Radnik (1-1) on 11-Jun-2021
Metalac lost to Napredak (2-3) on 11-Feb-2021
Partizan Belgrade won against Metalac (3-1) on 28/10/21
Then Spartak won against Metalac (2-0) on 23/10/21
Metalac lost to Mladost Lucani (0-2) on 18/10/21
Metalac won against Zarkovo (3-2) on 14/10/21
In the earliest match listed here Crvena Zvezda won against Metalac (3-1) on 10-Mar-2021

PROLETER POSITION

Proleter is in position 10 with 21 points from 18 matches. They are below Vozdovac Belgrade who have 22 points and above Kolubara who have 20 points.
Proleter have scored 14 goals and conceded 29 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -15 goals this season.

METALAC POSITION

Metalac is in position 14 with 16 points from 18 matches. They are below Mladost Lucani who have 17 points and above Novi Pazar who have 15 points.
Metalac have scored 23 goals and conceded 32 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.

PROLETER BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Proleter's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Stefan Tomovic - The Serbia National Stefan Tomovic has scored 4 goals in 13 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.31.

Evandro Da Silva - The Brazil National Evandro Da Silva has scored 2 goals in 9 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.22.

Dilan Ortiz - The Colombia National Dilan Ortiz has scored 2 goals in 16 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.13.

Andrija Kaludjerovic - The Serbia National Andrija Kaludjerovic has scored 1 goals in 2 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.

Dusan Jokovic - The Serbia National Dusan Jokovic has scored 1 goals in 5 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.2.

Bertalan Kun - The Hungary National Bertalan Kun has scored 1 goals in 8 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.13.

METALAC BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Metalac's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Stefan Cvetkovic - The Serbia National Stefan Cvetkovic has scored 4 goals in 14 games and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.29.

Filip Stuparevic - The Serbia National Filip Stuparevic has scored 3 goals in 10 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.3.

Damjan Krajisnik - The Serbia National Damjan Krajisnik has scored 3 goals in 14 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.21.

Marko Saric - The Serbia National Marko Saric has scored 3 goals in 15 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.2.

Nemanja Stojic - The Serbia National Nemanja Stojic has scored 3 goals in 15 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.2.

Nikola Furtula - The Serbia National Nikola Furtula has scored 2 goals in 5 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.

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