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NOTTINGHAM vs BLACKBURN GG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Nottingham vs Blackburn GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, Championshipmatch on 18-Aug-2021

Nottingham

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DATE:

18 August 2021 at 21:45:00

Blackburn

COUNTRY:

England

LEAGUE

Championship

TIME:

9:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.48

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

2.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Nottingham vs Blackburn match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 54.01% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 52.73% chance for the same. 



Finally, 50.59% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game. The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.79 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.87%. Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Nottingham vs Blackburn match is 52.44%, then this bet is not a value bet.



If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -3.43%The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Nottingham vs Blackburn match is 46.31 which is positive and therefore a good bet.



Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS). 



Both Nottingham and Blackburn have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game.

NOTTINGHAM vs BLACKBURN GG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

47%

1.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.13

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

52%

1.72

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

74%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

NOTTINGHAM VS BLACKBURN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Nottingham and Blackburn have met 6 times recently since 29/09/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Nottingham vs Blackburn prediction.
20/02/21 - Nottingham [1 : 0] Blackburn
17/10/20 - Blackburn [0 : 1] Nottingham
01-Jan-2020 - Nottingham [3 : 2] Blackburn
10-Jan-2019 - Blackburn [1 : 1] Nottingham
13/04/19 - Nottingham [1 : 2] Blackburn
29/09/18 - Blackburn [2 : 2] Nottingham

NOTTINGHAM LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Nottingham's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nottingham lost to Bournemouth (1-2) on 14/08/21
Then Nottingham won against Bradford (2-1) on 08-Nov-2021
Coventry won against Nottingham (2-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly Crewe drew with Nottingham (2-2) on 24/07/21
Nottingham lost to Preston (1-2) on 05-Aug-2021
Sheffield Wed drew with Nottingham (0-0) on 05-Jan-2021
Then Nottingham drew with Stoke (1-1) on 24/04/21
Birmingham drew with Nottingham (1-1) on 21/04/21
Nottingham lost to Huddersfield (0-2) on 17/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Bristol City drew with Nottingham (0-0) on 04-Oct-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Blackburn's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Millwall drew with Blackburn (1-1) on 14/08/21
Blackburn lost to Morecambe (1-2) on 08-Oct-2021
Then Blackburn won against Swansea (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Blackburn drew with Leeds United (1-1) on 28/07/21
Bradford won against Blackburn (2-0) on 24/07/21
Then Fylde lost to Blackburn (0-1) on 07-Oct-2021
Blackburn won against Birmingham (5-2) on 05-Aug-2021
Rotherham drew with Blackburn (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Once more Blackburn won against Huddersfield (5-2) on 24/04/21
Sheffield Wed won against Blackburn (1-0) on 20/04/21

NOTTINGHAM'S POSITION

Nottingham is in position 23 with 0 points from 2 matches. They are below Huddersfield who have 1 points and above Preston who have 0 points.
have scored 2 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

BLACKBURN'S POSITION

Blackburn is in position 6 with 4 points from 2 matches. They are below Bournemouth who have 4 points and above Middlesbrough who have 4 points.
Blackburn have scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

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