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Millwall vs Qpr prediction

Millwall vs Qpr predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Millwall vs Qpr are playing on England

Millwall

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Qpr

DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

TIME:

10:45 PM

COUNTRY:

England

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LEAGUE

Championship

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.44

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.08

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.03

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Millwall vs Qpr match, we are well convinced that Millwall is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Qpr. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Millwall vs Qpr match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 45.77% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 43.36% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 41.06% chance for a home win outcome. This Millwall vs Qpr match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.63 with an implied bookmaker probability of 38.02%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Millwall vs Qpr match is 43.40%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 5.37%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Millwall vs Qpr match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.63 where 2.63 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Millwall vs Qpr, EV(Home Win) to be 43.40% * 100 * 2.63, which translates to 57.52. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Millwall and Qpr will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Millwall and Qpr have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Millwall vs Qpr match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.81% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 54.00% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 51.45% chance for a ng outcome. This Millwall vs Qpr match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.88 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.19%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Millwall vs Qpr match is 54.09%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.90%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Millwall vs Qpr match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.88 where 1.88 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Millwall vs Qpr, EV(NG) to be 54.09% * 100 * 1.88, which translates to 55.77. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Millwall vs Qpr. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Millwall vs Qpr match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.49% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 66.85% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 69.07% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Millwall vs Qpr match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.37333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.82%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Millwall vs Qpr match is 66.80%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -6.01%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Millwall vs Qpr match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.37333333333333 where 1.37333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Millwall vs Qpr, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 66.80% * 100 * 1.37, which translates to 58.54. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Millwall vs Qpr prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.49

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

4.05

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

2.23

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

77%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

MILLWALL VS QPR PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

MILLWALL VS QPR LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Qpr and Millwall have met 6 times recently since 04-Oct-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Qpr vs Millwall prediction.
08-Jul-2021 - QPR [1 : 1] Millwall
17/03/21 - QPR [3 : 2] Millwall
12-Aug-2020 - Millwall [1 : 1] QPR
18/07/20 - QPR [4 : 3] Millwall
21/09/19 - Millwall [1 : 2] QPR
04-Oct-2019 - Millwall [0 : 0] QPR

MILLWALL'S LAST 10 MATCHES

MILLWALL LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Millwall's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Millwall won against Cardiff (2-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Fulham won against Millwall (3-0) on 02-Aug-2022
Millwall drew with Preston (0-0) on 02-Jan-2022
Not surprisingly Millwall won against West Bromwich (2-0) on 29/01/22
Blackpool won against Millwall (1-0) on 22/01/22
Millwall lost to Nottingham (0-1) on 15/01/22
Then Millwall lost to Crystal Palace (1-2) on 01-Aug-2022
Bristol City won against Millwall (3-2) on 01-Feb-2022
Coventry lost to Millwall (0-1) on 29/12/21
In the earliest match listed here Peterborough won against Millwall (2-1) on 12-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

MILLWALL LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Millwall's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Barnsley won against QPR (1-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then QPR drew with Middlesbrough (2-2) on 02-Sep-2022
Peterborough won against QPR (2-0) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly QPR won against Reading (4-0) on 29/01/22
QPR drew with Swansea (0-0) on 25/01/22
Coventry lost to QPR (1-2) on 22/01/22
Then QPR won against West Bromwich (1-0) on 15/01/22
QPR won against Rotherham (8-7) on 01-Aug-2022
Birmingham lost to QPR (1-2) on 01-Feb-2022
In the earliest match listed here Bristol City lost to QPR (1-2) on 30/12/21

MILLWALL POSITION

MILLWALL'S POSITION
Millwall is in position 15 with 40 points from 30 matches. They are below Blackpool who have 41 points and above Swansea who have 38 points.
Millwall have scored 31 goals and conceded 33 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

QPR POSITION

MILLWALL BEST PLAYERS

MILLWALL'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Millwall's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Tom Bradshaw - The Wales National Tom Bradshaw has scored 7 goals in 15 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.47.

Benik Afobe - The DR Congo National Benik Afobe has scored 6 goals in 26 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.23.

Jed Wallace - The England National Jed Wallace has scored 5 goals in 24 games and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.21.

Murray Wallace - The Scotland National Murray Wallace has scored 3 goals in 26 games and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.12.

Mason Bennett - The England National Mason Bennett has scored 2 goals in 19 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.11.

Jake Cooper - The England National Jake Cooper has scored 2 goals in 26 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.08.

QPR BEST PLAYERS

QPR'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Qpr's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Lyndon Dykes - The Scotland National Lyndon Dykes has scored 8 goals in 24 games and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.33.

Ilias Chair - The Morocco National Ilias Chair has scored 7 goals in 23 games and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.3.

Chris Willock - The England National Chris Willock has scored 7 goals in 28 games and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.

Andre Gray - The Jamaica National Andre Gray has scored 5 goals in 17 games and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.29.

Charlie Austin - The England National Charlie Austin has scored 4 goals in 24 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

Sam McCallum - The England National Sam McCallum has scored 2 goals in 8 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.25.

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