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Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara Prediction

Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara are playing on �Ecuador

Ldu Quito

Lecce logo.jpg

Csd Macara

DATE:

30 May 2022 at 03:00:00

TIME:

3:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Ecuador

Brescia logo.png

LEAGUE

Serie A, Primera

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.99

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

5.19

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara match, we are well convinced that Ldu Quito is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Csd Macara.


The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 37.53% probability for a Home Win outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 56.32% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 67.62% chance for a home win outcome. This Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.


Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.73 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.80%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara match is 53.82%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.98%. 


Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;


P(Home Win) * 100* 1.73 where 1.73 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara, EV(Home Win) to be 53.82% * 100 * 1.73, which translates to 46.92. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Ldu Quito vs Csd Macara Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

36%

AVR. ODDS:

1.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

63%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.24

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.38

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

1.86

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

3.26

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

78%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

LDU QUITO VS CSD MACARA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

LOS ANGELES GALAXY VS AUSTIN FC LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Major League Soccer and have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Major League Soccer vs prediction.
05-Sep-2022 - Major League Soccer [ : ]
27/09/21 - Major League Soccer [ : ]
15/05/21 - Major League Soccer [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]

LDU QUITO'S LAST 10 MATCHES

LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Los Angeles Galaxy's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
LA Galaxy won against Los Angeles (3-1) on 26/05/22
Then LA Galaxy lost to Houston (0-3) on 23/05/22
Minnesota drew with LA Galaxy (1-1) on 19/05/22
Not surprisingly LA Galaxy lost to Dallas (1-3) on 15/05/22
California United Strikers FC lost to LA Galaxy (2-3) on 05-Dec-2022
Austin lost to LA Galaxy (0-1) on 05-Sep-2022
Then Salt Lake won against LA Galaxy (1-0) on 30/04/22
LA Galaxy won against Nashville (1-0) on 24/04/22
LA Galaxy won against San Diego Loyal SC (1-0) on 20/04/22
In the earliest match listed here Chicago drew with LA Galaxy (0-0) on 17/04/22

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Los Angeles Galaxy's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Austin drew with Orlando (2-2) on 23/05/22
Then Los Angeles lost to Austin (1-2) on 19/05/22
Salt Lake won against Austin (2-1) on 15/05/22
Not surprisingly Austin lost to LA Galaxy (0-1) on 05-Sep-2022
Houston lost to Austin (1-2) on 30/04/22
Austin won against Vancouver (3-0) on 24/04/22
Then San Antonio won against Austin (2-1) on 21/04/22
DC United lost to Austin (2-3) on 17/04/22
Austin won against Minnesota (1-0) on 04-Nov-2022
In the earliest match listed here San Jose drew with Austin (2-2) on 04-Mar-2022

LDU QUITO POSITION

LOS ANGELES GALAXY'S POSITION
13 is in position 9 with 12 points from 6 matches. They are below 13 who have 12 points and above 13 who have 12 points.
Los Angeles Galaxy have scored 14 goals and conceded -1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 20 goals this season.

CSD MACARA POSITION

AUSTIN FC'S POSITION
13 is in position 2 with 10 points from 7 matches. They are below 13 who have 10 points and above 13 who have 10 points.
Austin Fc have scored 14 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 24 goals this season.

LDU QUITO BEST PLAYERS

LOS ANGELES GALAXY'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Los Angeles Galaxy's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Chicharito - The Mexico National Chicharito has scored 5 goals in 13 games and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.38.

Douglas Costa - The Brazil National Douglas Costa has scored 2 goals in 12 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

Sacha Kljestan - The USA National Sacha Kljestan has scored 1 goals in 10 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.1.

Coulibaly Sega - The France National Coulibaly Sega has scored 1 goals in 10 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.1.

Dejan Joveljic - The Serbia National Dejan Joveljic has scored 1 goals in 11 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.09.

Marky Delgado - The USA National Marky Delgado has scored 1 goals in 12 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.08.

CSD MACARA BEST PLAYERS

AUSTIN FC'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Austin Fc's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Sebastian Driussi - The Argentina National Sebastian Driussi has scored 8 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.62.

Maximiliano Urruti - The Argentina National Maximiliano Urruti has scored 4 goals in 13 games and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.31.

Cecilio Dominguez - The Paraguay National Cecilio Dominguez has scored 2 goals in 4 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.5.

Ruben Gabrielsen - The Norway National Ruben Gabrielsen has scored 2 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.15.

Alexander Ring - The Finland National Alexander Ring has scored 2 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.15.

Diego Fagundez - The Uruguay National Diego Fagundez has scored 2 goals in 13 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.15.

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