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INDEPENDENTE EC AP vs YPIRANGA AP HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Independente Ec Ap vs Ypiranga Ap HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this �Brazil, Campeonato Amapaensematch on 05-Aug-2021

Independente Ec Ap

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Ypiranga Ap

DATE:

4 August 2021 at 23:00:00

TIME:

2:00:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Brazil

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LEAGUE

Campeonato Amapaense

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

49.72%

AVR. ODDS:

3.94

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

21.70%

AVR. ODDS:

3.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

28.00%

AVR. ODDS:

1.71

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH


All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Independente Ec Ap vs Ypiranga Ap match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 41.65% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 49.63% chance for the same. Finally, 57.87% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. 



This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 3.94 with an implied bookmaker probability of 25.38%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Independente Ec Ap vs Ypiranga Ap match is 49.72%, then this bet is a value bet. 


If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 24.34%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Independente Ec Ap vs Ypiranga Ap match is 145.6 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


Strong recent and past performances that Independente Ec Ap have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Ypiranga Ap might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. 


It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. 


You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.

INDEPENDENTE EC AP vs YPIRANGA AP HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

63.93%

AVR. ODDS:

1.62

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

35.49%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

15.11%

AVR. ODDS:

3.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

64.75%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

34.67%

AVR. ODDS:

2.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

42.83%

AVR. ODDS:

2.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

56.59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

INDEPENDENTE EC AP VS YPIRANGA AP LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

INDEPENDENTE EC AP LAST 10 MATCHES

Currently no previous matches

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Ypiranga Ap's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ypiranga won against Penarol (1-0) on 08-Feb-2021
Sao Paulo AP drew with Ypiranga (1-1) on 30/07/21
Then Galvez won against Ypiranga (2-0) on 25/07/21
Ypiranga drew with Santos (2-2) on 21/07/21
Ypiranga lost to Galvez (0-1) on 17/07/21
Then Penarol drew with Ypiranga (1-1) on 07-Nov-2021
Castanhal EC PA won against Ypiranga (2-1) on 07-Mar-2021
Ypiranga lost to Sao Raimundo (0-1) on 27/06/21
Once more Gas RR lost to Ypiranga (1-2) on 19/06/21
Ypiranga won against Atletico Acreano (2-1) on 13/06/21

INDEPENDENTE EC AP'S POSITION

No position listed

YPIRANGA AP'S POSITION

No position listed

INDEPENDENTE EC AP'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

YPIRANGA AP'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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