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HENAN JIANYE vs GUANGZHOU R AND F OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Henan Jianye vs Guangzhou R And F OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this China, Super Leaguematch on 11-Aug-2021

Henan Jianye

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Guangzhou R And F

DATE:

11 August 2021 at 15:00:00

TIME:

3:00 PM

COUNTRY:

China

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LEAGUE

Super League

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

2.43

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.28104575163399 with an implied bookmaker probability of 78.06%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Henan Jianye vs Guangzhou R And F match is 68.91%, then this bet is not a value bet.


If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -9.15%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Henan Jianye vs Guangzhou R And F match is 57.17 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Henan Jianye vs Guangzhou R And F match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 71.53% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 69.06% chance for the same. Finally, 66.13% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. 


Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Henan Jianye vs Guangzhou R And F. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

HENAN JIANYE vs GUANGZHOU R AND F OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

39%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.97

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

3.18

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

1.96

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

57%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.44

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

78%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

HENAN JIANYE VS GUANGZHOU R AND F LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Guangzhou City and Henan Songshan have met 6 times recently since 12-Jan-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Guangzhou City vs Henan Songshan prediction.
21/07/21 - Guangzhou City [1 : 1] Henan Songshan
11-Jan-2020 - Henan Songshan [3 : 2] Guangzhou City
27/10/20 - Guangzhou City [1 : 2] Henan Songshan
09-Aug-2020 - Guangzhou City [3 : 1] Henan Songshan
08-May-2020 - Henan Songshan [1 : 1] Guangzhou City
12-Jan-2019 - Henan Songshan [1 : 0] Guangzhou City

HENAN JIANYE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Henan Jianye's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Qingdao lost to Henan Songshan (0-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Then Guangzhou won against Henan Songshan (2-0) on 08-May-2021
Henan Songshan won against Chongqing Liangjiang (1-0) on 08-Feb-2021
Not surprisingly Shandong Taishan won against Henan Songshan (2-0) on 30/07/21
Henan Songshan won against Cangzhou Mighty L. (2-1) on 27/07/21
Shenzhen FC drew with Henan Songshan (0-0) on 24/07/21
Then Guangzhou City drew with Henan Songshan (1-1) on 21/07/21
Henan Songshan won against Qingdao (2-0) on 18/07/21
Henan Songshan drew with Guangzhou (1-1) on 15/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Chongqing Liangjiang won against Henan Songshan (3-2) on 05-Sep-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Guangzhou R And F's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Guangzhou City lost to Shandong Taishan (1-3) on 08-Aug-2021
Cangzhou Mighty L. lost to Guangzhou City (0-2) on 08-May-2021
Then Shenzhen FC lost to Guangzhou City (0-1) on 08-Feb-2021
Guangzhou City won against Qingdao (4-2) on 30/07/21
Chongqing Liangjiang won against Guangzhou City (4-0) on 27/07/21
Then Guangzhou City drew with Guangzhou (3-3) on 24/07/21
Guangzhou City drew with Henan Songshan (1-1) on 21/07/21
Shandong Taishan drew with Guangzhou City (0-0) on 18/07/21
Once more Guangzhou City drew with Cangzhou Mighty L. (0-0) on 14/05/21
Guangzhou City lost to Shenzhen FC (2-4) on 05-Aug-2021

HENAN JIANYE'S POSITION

Henan Songshan is in position 9 with 17 points from 13 matches. They are below Beijing Guoan who have 18 points and above Shanghai Shenhua who have 16 points.
have scored 12 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

GUANGZHOU R AND F'S POSITION

Guangzhou City is in position 6 with 20 points from 13 matches. They are below Shenzhen FC who have 21 points and above Hebei who have 19 points.
Guangzhou R And F have scored 20 goals and conceded 20 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

HENAN JIANYE'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Henan Jianye's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Henrique Dourado - The Brazil National Henrique Dourado has scored 5 goals in 12 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.42.

Fernando Karanga - The Brazil National Fernando Karanga has scored 2 goals in 7 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.29.

Pu Chen - The China National Pu Chen has scored 2 goals in 11 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.18.

Mohamed Buya Turay - The Sierra Leone National Mohamed Buya Turay has scored 1 goals in 4 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.

Wang Shangyuan - The China National Wang Shangyuan has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

Ke Zhao - The China National Ke Zhao has scored 1 goals in 11 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.09.

GUANGZHOU R AND F'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Guangzhou R And F players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Guilherme - The Brazil National Guilherme has scored 5 goals in 13 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.38.

Jown Cardona - The Colombia National Jown Cardona has scored 4 goals in 10 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.4.

Tiago Leonco - The Brazil National Tiago Leonco has scored 4 goals in 11 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.36.

Ye Chugui - The China National Ye Chugui has scored 2 goals in 11 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.18.

Chen Zhizhao - The China National Chen Zhizhao has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

Jiang Jihong - The China National Jiang Jihong has scored 1 goals in 12 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.08.

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