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FERRO CO vs ALL BOYS SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Ferro Co vs All Boys sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Argentina, Primera B Nacional, Group B match on 11-Aug-2021

Ferro Co

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All Boys

DATE:

11 August 2021 at 03:10:00

TIME:

3:10 AM

COUNTRY:

Argentina

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LEAGUE

Primera B Nacional, Group B

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

2.3

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

3.57

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Ferro Co and All Boys will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Ferro Co and All Boys have no chance scoring each other. 


This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Ferro Co vs All Boys match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 60.45% probability for a NG outcome. 


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.92% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.70% chance for a ng outcome. This Ferro Co vs All Boys match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.66 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.24%. 


The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Ferro Co vs All Boys match is 62.35%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 2.11%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Ferro Co vs All Boys match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.66 where 1.66 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Ferro Co vs All Boys, EV(NG) to be 62.35% * 100 * 1.66, which translates to 65.86. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

FERRO CO vs ALL BOYS SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.65

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

2.55

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

1.46

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

4.47

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

84%

AVR. ODDS:

1.09

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FERRO CO VS ALL BOYS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

All Boys and Ferro Carri have met 6 times recently since 13/09/15. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the All Boys vs Ferro Carri prediction.
27/03/21 - All Boys [3 : 0] Ferro Carri
02-Aug-2018 - All Boys [3 : 3] Ferro Carri
16/07/17 - All Boys [1 : 0] Ferro Carri
20/12/16 - Ferro Carri [3 : 1] All Boys
13/03/16 - All Boys [1 : 1] Ferro Carri
13/09/15 - Ferro Carri [2 : 1] All Boys

FERRO CO LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Ferro Co's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dep. Moron won against Ferro Carri (1-0) on 08-Jan-2021
Then Ferro Carri drew with Guemes (1-1) on 24/07/21
Ferro Carri lost to Almagro (1-2) on 18/07/21
Not surprisingly Santamarina Tand. lost to Ferro Carri (0-2) on 07-Nov-2021
Ferro Carri drew with Defensores (1-1) on 07-Apr-2021
San Telmo won against Ferro Carri (1-0) on 27/06/21
Then Ferro Carri drew with Villa Dalmine (0-0) on 23/06/21
San Martin drew with Ferro Carri (1-1) on 17/06/21
Ferro Carri won against Brown de Adrogue (1-0) on 06-Nov-2021
In the earliest match listed here Guillermo Brown won against Ferro Carri (3-1) on 16/05/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are All Boys's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
All Boys drew with Brown de Adrogue (1-1) on 31/07/21
Dep. Moron won against All Boys (3-0) on 25/07/21
Then All Boys won against Guillermo Brown (3-0) on 17/07/21
Guemes won against All Boys (1-0) on 07-Nov-2021
All Boys lost to Atletico Rafaela (0-1) on 07-Apr-2021
Then Almagro won against All Boys (3-0) on 27/06/21
All Boys drew with Independiente Riv. (1-1) on 23/06/21
Santamarina Tand. won against All Boys (2-0) on 17/06/21
Once more All Boys drew with Barracas (0-0) on 06-Nov-2021
Defensores drew with All Boys (0-0) on 17/05/21

FERRO CO'S POSITION

Ferro Carri is in position 11 with 24 points from 19 matches. They are below Atletico Rafaela who have 25 points and above San Telmo who have 24 points.
have scored 17 goals and conceded 20 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.

ALL BOYS'S POSITION

All Boys is in position 14 with 22 points from 19 matches. They are below Instituto Atletico who have 23 points and above San Martin who have 20 points.
All Boys have scored 17 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

FERRO CO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

ALL BOYS'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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