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FC HONKA/AKATEMIA vs SALPA SALO SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Finland, Kakkonen, Lansi match on 28-Jul-2021

Fc Honka/Akatemia

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Salpa Salo

DATE:

28 July 2021 at 18:30:00

TIME:

6:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Finland

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LEAGUE

Kakkonen, Lansi

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

4.8

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

5.95

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo. 


The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 90.96% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 85.82% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 74.30% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. 


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 0.915032679738562 with an implied bookmaker probability of 109.29%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo match is 83.69%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. 


In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -25.59%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 0.915032679738562 where 0.915032679738562 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Fc Honka/Akatemia vs Salpa Salo, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 83.69% * 100 * 0.91, which translates to 60.27. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

FC HONKA/AKATEMIA vs SALPA SALO SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

63%

AVR. ODDS:

1.57

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

2.25

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

5

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

1.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

34%

AVR. ODDS:

2.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

2.46

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

2.05

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FC HONKA/AKATEMIA VS SALPA SALO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Kakkonen, Group B and have met 4 times recently since 09-May-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Kakkonen, Group B vs prediction.
08-Sep-2019 - Kakkonen, Group B [ : ]
29/05/19 - Kakkonen, Group B [ : ]
15/09/18 - Kakkonen, Group B [ : ]
05-Jun-2018 - Kakkonen, Group B [ : ]


FC HONKA/AKATEMIA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Fc Honka/Akatemia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ilves 2 lost to FC Honka/Akatemia (2-4) on 07-Jun-2021
Then FC Honka/Akatemia lost to Ilves-Kissat (2-3) on 30/06/21
Hjs Akatemia won against FC Honka/Akatemia (3-1) on 23/06/21
Not surprisingly Espoon Palloseura drew with FC Honka/Akatemia (0-0) on 19/06/21
FC Honka/Akatemia won against Jazz (1-0) on 13/06/21
FC Honka/Akatemia won against Tampere (4-0) on 06-Jul-2021
Then FC Honka/Akatemia won against Espoon Palloseura (3-1) on 11-Apr-2020
Kultsu lost to FC Honka/Akatemia (1-2) on 31/10/20
FC Honka/Akatemia lost to Mikkelin Kissat (1-2) on 18/10/20
In the earliest match listed here Viikingit lost to FC Honka/Akatemia (0-5) on 10-Apr-2020

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Currently no previous matches

FC HONKA/AKATEMIA'S POSITION

No position listed

SALPA SALO'S POSITION

No position listed

FC HONKA/AKATEMIA'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

SALPA SALO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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