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Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol prediction

Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol are playing on 06-Dec-21

Ethnikos Achnas

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Apollon Limassol

DATE:

5 December 2021 at 21:00:00

TIME:

8:00:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Cyprus

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LEAGUE

1st Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

6.15

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

3.96

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

1.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Ethnikos Achnas and Apollon Limassol will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Ethnikos Achnas and Apollon Limassol have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 54.57% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 50.01% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 57.88% chance for a ng outcome. This Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.881 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.16%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is 54.15%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.99%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.881 where 1.881 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol, EV(NG) to be 54.15% * 100 * 1.88, which translates to 56.01. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.05% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.55% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.23% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.34 with an implied bookmaker probability of 74.63%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is 70.28%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.35%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.34 where 1.34 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 70.28% * 100 * 1.34, which translates to 64.44. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

59%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

1.98

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.27

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

3.47

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

66%

AVR. ODDS:

1.91

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

3.35

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS VS APOLLON LIMASSOL PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

08-Sep-2021 - Radnicki Nis [1 : 2] TSC Backa Topola
03-Jul-2021 - Radnicki Nis [2 : 0] TSC Backa Topola
09-Dec-2020 - TSC Backa Topola [1 : 3] Radnicki Nis
19/06/20 - Radnicki Nis [3 : 1] TSC Backa Topola
11-Mar-2019 - TSC Backa Topola [2 : 0] Radnicki Nis
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS'S LAST 10 MATCHES

BACKA TOPOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Backa Topola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
TSC Backa Topola won against Kolubara (2-1) on 12-Jan-2021
Then Kolubara won against TSC Backa Topola (2-1) on 28/11/21
Radnik won against TSC Backa Topola (2-1) on 24/11/21
Not surprisingly TSC Backa Topola lost to Metalac (1-2) on 19/11/21
Novi Pazar drew with TSC Backa Topola (1-1) on 11-May-2021
Vozdovac Belgrade drew with TSC Backa Topola (1-1) on 31/10/21
Then Zlatibor lost to TSC Backa Topola (0-4) on 27/10/21
TSC Backa Topola lost to Partizan Belgrade (1-3) on 24/10/21
Proleter won against TSC Backa Topola (1-0) on 17/10/21
In the earliest match listed here TSC Backa Topola lost to Cukaricki (1-2) on 10-Feb-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

BACKA TOPOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Backa Topola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Radnicki Nis won against Radnik (3-0) on 28/11/21
Then Napredak drew with Radnicki Nis (1-1) on 20/11/21
Radnicki Nis drew with Spartak (0-0) on 11-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Radnicki Nis won against Radnicki Kragujevac (2-1) on 11-Mar-2021
Radnicki Nis won against Mladost Lucani (2-0) on 30/10/21
Radnicki Nis won against Dinamo Vranje (1-0) on 27/10/21
Then Crvena Zvezda won against Radnicki Nis (1-0) on 24/10/21
Vojvodina Novi Sad drew with Radnicki Nis (1-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Radnicki Nis drew with Metalac (1-1) on 30/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Kolubara lost to Radnicki Nis (2-3) on 25/09/21

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS POSITION

BACKA TOPOLA'S POSITION
TSC Backa Topola is in position 8 with 22 points from 18 matches. They are below Spartak who have 23 points and above Vozdovac Belgrade who have 22 points.
Backa Topola have scored 28 goals and conceded 27 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

APOLLON LIMASSOL POSITION

ETHNIKOS ACHNAS BEST PLAYERS

BACKA TOPOLA'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Backa Topola's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Player - The National Player has scored Goals goals in Matches games and shot FG foul kicks. He has scored Penalties penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is G/M.

Djuro Zec - The Serbia National Djuro Zec has scored 6 goals in 12 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.

Sasa Tomanovic - The Serbia National Sasa Tomanovic has scored 5 goals in 13 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.38.

Stefan Vukic - The Serbia National Stefan Vukic has scored 4 goals in 10 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.

Mihajlo Banjac - The Serbia National Mihajlo Banjac has scored 3 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.23.

Nenad Lukic - The Serbia National Nenad Lukic has scored 1 goals in 2 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.

APOLLON LIMASSOL BEST PLAYERS

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