CFR CLUJ vs U CRAIOVA 1948 SA SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Cfr Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 Sa sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Romania match on 15-Jul-2021
Cfr Cluj
DATE:
16 July 2021 at 21:30:00
U Craiova 1948 Sa
COUNTRY:
Romania
LEAGUE
Liga I
TIME:
9:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.45
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
4.2
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
7.59
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Expected Value, EV(UNDER 3.5), for a UNDER 3.5 result for this Cfr Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 SA match is calculated as follows: Let P(UNDER 3.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(UNDER 3.5) * 100* 1.23 where 1.23 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a UNDER 3.5 for Cfr Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 Sa, EV(UNDER 3.5) to be 83.16% * 100 * 1.23, which translates to 85.56. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.To find if the Under 3.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied UNDER 3.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.23134328358209 with an implied bookmaker probability of 81.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Under 3.5 outcome for this Cfr Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 Sa match is 83.16%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 1.95%Cfr Cluj and U Craiova 1948 Sa are expected to score a number of goals in this match. I do not, however, see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals.
They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a under 3.5 in this Cfr Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 Sa match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 99.82% probability for a UNDER 3.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 88.61% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.05% chance for a under 3.5 outcome. This Cfr Cluj vs U Craiova 1948 Sa match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Over/Under 2.5 predictions are great for forming winning bets. Try some more.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
33%
AVR. ODDS:
2.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
67%
1.52
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.38
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
51%
AVR. ODDS:
3
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
2.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
70%
1.65
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
3.7
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
83%
AVR. ODDS:
1.23
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
CFR CLUJ VS U CRAIOVA 1948 SA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Galway Utd and Bray Wanderers have met 6 times recently since 20/05/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Galway Utd vs Bray Wanderers prediction.
05-Jul-2021 - Galway Utd [1 : 2] Bray Wanderers
31/10/20 - Bray Wanderers [0 : 1] Galway Utd
24/10/20 - Bray Wanderers [0 : 1] Galway Utd
21/08/20 - Galway Utd [0 : 0] Bray Wanderers
19/07/19 - Galway Utd [2 : 2] Bray Wanderers
20/05/19 - Bray Wanderers [2 : 1] Galway Utd
CFR CLUJ LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Cfr Cluj's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Banja Luka won against CFR Cluj (2-1) on 13/07/21
Then CFR Cluj lost to Uni Craiova (2-4) on 07-Oct-2021
CFR Cluj won against Banja Luka (3-1) on 07-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly CFR Cluj drew with Ujpest Budapest (1-1) on 28/06/21
CFR Cluj won against Dinamo Moscow (1-0) on 26/06/21
CFR Cluj lost to Puskas Akademia (0-1) on 22/06/21
Then Ludogorets drew with CFR Cluj (1-1) on 19/06/21
CFR Cluj won against FCSB (2-0) on 25/05/21
Botosani lost to CFR Cluj (0-1) on 18/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Uni Craiova lost to CFR Cluj (1-3) on 15/05/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are U Craiova 1948 Sa's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bravo Ljubljana drew with U Craiova (1-1) on 29/06/21
U Craiova drew with Dunarea Calarasi (0-0) on 23/05/21
Then Rapid Bucuresti lost to U Craiova (1-3) on 17/05/21
U Craiova drew with FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc (0-0) on 13/05/21
Pol. Timisoara won against U Craiova (2-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Then U Craiova won against Mioveni (4-2) on 30/04/21
Dunarea Calarasi drew with U Craiova (1-1) on 26/04/21
U Craiova won against Rapid Bucuresti (1-0) on 19/04/21
Once more FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc lost to U Craiova (1-2) on 13/04/21
U Craiova won against Pol. Timisoara (1-0) on 04-Oct-2021
CFR CLUJ'S POSITION
No position listed
U CRAIOVA 1948 SA'S POSITION
No position Listed for this team.
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