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Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys prediction

Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys are playing on Argentina

Argentinos Juniors

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DATE:

15 February 2022 at 23:00:00

Newell'S Old Boys

COUNTRY:

Argentina

LEAGUE

Copa de la Superliga

TIME:

11:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

36%

AVR. ODDS:

2.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

3.5

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match, we are well convinced that Argentinos Juniors is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Newell'S Old Boys. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 83.81% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 84.84% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 84.59% chance for a home win outcome. This Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.25 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.00%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match is 84.42%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.42%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.25 where 1.25 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys, EV(Home Win) to be 84.42% * 100 * 1.25, which translates to 89.93. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Argentinos Juniors and Newell'S Old Boys will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Argentinos Juniors and Newell'S Old Boys have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 60.07% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 74.73% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 91.12% chance for a ng outcome. This Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.75 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.14%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match is 75.31%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 18.17%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.75 where 1.75 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys, EV(NG) to be 75.31% * 100 * 1.75, which translates to 107.09. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 83.55% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 76.82% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 63.96% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.01333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 98.68%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match is 74.78%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -23.91%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.01333333333333 where 1.01333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 74.78% * 100 * 1.01, which translates to 50.55. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Argentinos Juniors vs Newell'S Old Boys prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

12%

AVR. ODDS:

2.09

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

88%

1.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

77%

AVR. ODDS:

4.36

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

7%

AVR. ODDS:

2.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

93%

1.76

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

2%

AVR. ODDS:

4.21

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

98%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS VS NEWELL'S OLD BOYS PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS VS NEWELL'S OLD BOYS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Argentinos Juniors and NewellS have met 6 times recently since 24/05/15. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Argentinos Juniors vs NewellS prediction.
27/07/21 - Argentinos Juniors [1 : 0] Newells
26/11/19 - Argentinos Juniors [1 : 0] Newells
30/10/18 - Newells [2 : 0] Argentinos Juniors
17/03/18 - Argentinos Juniors [1 : 0] Newells
04-Oct-2016 - Argentinos Juniors [0 : 0] Newells
24/05/15 - Argentinos Juniors [2 : 1] Newells

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS'S LAST 10 MATCHES

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Argentinos Juniors's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Patronato lost to Argentinos Juniors (0-1) on 02-Nov-2022
Then Argentinos Juniors won against Sarmiento (2-0) on 12-Nov-2021
Aldosivi won against Argentinos Juniors (3-2) on 12-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Argentinos Juniors won against Gimnasia La Plata (3-0) on 29/11/21
Velez Sarsfield won against Argentinos Juniors (2-0) on 24/11/21
Argentinos Juniors drew with Godoy Cruz (0-0) on 20/11/21
Then Huracan drew with Argentinos Juniors (1-1) on 11-Sep-2021
Boca Juniors won against Argentinos Juniors (1-0) on 11-Apr-2021
Argentinos Juniors lost to Lanus (0-1) on 30/10/21
In the earliest match listed here River Plate won against Argentinos Juniors (3-0) on 26/10/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Argentinos Juniors's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Newells won against Defensa Justicia (1-0) on 02-Nov-2022
Then San Lorenzo won against Newells (3-2) on 12-Dec-2021
Newells drew with Banfield (0-0) on 12-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Boca Juniors drew with Newells (0-0) on 12-Jan-2021
Newells won against Central Cordoba (1-0) on 24/11/21
Arsenal won against Newells (3-1) on 21/11/21
Then Newells won against Union Santa Fe (1-0) on 11-Aug-2021
Newells won against Independiente (1-0) on 11-Jan-2021
Sarmiento won against Newells (2-1) on 25/10/21
In the earliest match listed here Newells drew with Aldosivi (0-0) on 21/10/21

ARGENTINOS JUNIORS POSITION

0

NEWELL'S OLD BOYS POSITION

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