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TSV KOTTERN vs FC 1920 GUNDELFINGEN SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Tsv Kottern vs Fc 1920 Gundelfingen sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany Amateur, Bayernliga South match on 01-Sep-2021

Tsv Kottern

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DATE:

1 September 2021 at 18:45:00

Fc 1920 Gundelfingen

COUNTRY:

Germany Amateur

LEAGUE

Bayernliga South

TIME:

6:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

4.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

4.1

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.45 with an implied bookmaker probability of 68.97%. 



The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Tsv Kottern vs Fc 1920 Gundelfingen match is 59.94%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.03%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Tsv Kottern vs Fc 1920 Gundelfingen match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.45 where 1.45 are the decimal odds for this outcome. 



Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Tsv Kottern vs Fc 1920 Gundelfingen, EV(GG) to be 59.94% * 100 * 1.45, which translates to 46.84. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.



We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Tsv Kottern vs Fc 1920 Gundelfingen match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.92% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 60.45% probability for the same outccome. 



The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.44% chance for a gg outcome. This Tsv Kottern vs Fc 1920 Gundelfingen match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.



Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Tsv Kottern and Fc 1920 Gundelfingen have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 


I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

TSV KOTTERN vs FC 1920 GUNDELFINGEN SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

38%

2.55

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

14%

AVR. ODDS:

4.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

1.42

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

33%

2.65

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.49

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.98

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

TSV KOTTERN VS FC 1920 GUNDELFINGEN LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

TSV KOTTERN LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Tsv Kottern's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Hankofen-Hailing won against Kottern (3-1) on 21/08/21
Then Kottern lost to Dachau (2-3) on 18/08/21
VFB Hallbergmoos drew with Kottern (0-0) on 14/08/21
Not surprisingly Kottern drew with TSV 1880 Wasserburg (1-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Turkspor Augsburg won against Kottern (3-1) on 08-Apr-2021
Kottern lost to SV Donaustauf (1-4) on 31/07/21
Then Schwabmunchen lost to Kottern (0-2) on 28/07/21
Kottern drew with FC Deisenhofen (1-1) on 25/07/21
Kottern lost to 1860 Munich II (0-1) on 24/10/20
In the earliest match listed here Dachau lost to Kottern (1-2) on 17/10/20

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Fc 1920 Gundelfingen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Gundelfingen lost to Hankofen-Hailing (0-2) on 28/08/21
Gundelfingen lost to VFB Hallbergmoos (0-1) on 25/08/21
Then Dachau drew with Gundelfingen (1-1) on 21/08/21
TSV 1880 Wasserburg lost to Gundelfingen (1-2) on 14/08/21
Gundelfingen won against Turkspor Augsburg (3-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Then SV Donaustauf won against Gundelfingen (5-1) on 08-Apr-2021
Gundelfingen won against Schwabmunchen (3-0) on 31/07/21
FC Deisenhofen drew with Gundelfingen (1-1) on 28/07/21
Once more Gundelfingen drew with Ingolstadt II (1-1) on 24/07/21
Augsburg won against Gundelfingen (6-0) on 07-Sep-2019

TSV KOTTERN'S POSITION

No position listed

FC 1920 GUNDELFINGEN'S POSITION

No position listed

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