Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico Prediction
Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico are playing on �Peru
Sport Huancayo
DATE:
30 May 2022 at 23:30:00
Alianza Atletico
COUNTRY:
Peru
LEAGUE
Primera Division, Apertura
TIME:
11:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.62
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.98
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
4.97
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
NG TIPS
Sport Huancayo and Alianza Atletico will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction).
If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Sport Huancayo and Alianza Atletico have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 92.98% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 79.00% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 70.02% chance for a ng outcome.
This Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.41 with an implied bookmaker probability of 70.92%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico match is 80.67%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.75%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.41 where 1.41 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico, EV(NG) to be 80.67% * 100 * 1.41, which translates to 94.41. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
39%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
61%
1.89
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
41%
AVR. ODDS:
3.22
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
34%
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
65%
1.76
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
83%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SPORT HUANCAYO VS ALIANZA ATLETICO PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
KFUM OSLO VS SKEID FOTBALL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Kfum Oslo and Skeid have met 6 times recently since 05-Dec-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Kfum Oslo vs Skeid prediction.
30/01/22 - KFUM Oslo [2 : 0] Skeid
15/09/19 - KFUM Oslo [2 : 1] Skeid
16/06/19 - Skeid [1 : 1] KFUM Oslo
25/01/19 - KFUM Oslo [0 : 3] Skeid
09-Jan-2018 - Skeid [2 : 3] KFUM Oslo
05-Dec-2018 - KFUM Oslo [1 : 1] Skeid
SPORT HUANCAYO'S LAST 10 MATCHES
GRORUD IL LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Grorud Il's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Grorud drew with Bryne FK (2-2) on 23/05/22
Then Follo lost to Grorud (3-4) on 19/05/22
Stabaek drew with Grorud (1-1) on 16/05/22
Not surprisingly Grorud lost to Start (0-3) on 05-Aug-2022
Raufoss drew with Grorud (1-1) on 24/04/22
Ranheim won against Grorud (2-1) on 19/04/22
Then Grorud drew with Fredrikstad (2-2) on 04-Oct-2022
KFUM Oslo drew with Grorud (2-2) on 04-Mar-2022
Grorud won against Ullensaker/Kisa (3-2) on 26/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Grorud lost to Ham-Kam (1-2) on 27/11/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
GRORUD IL LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Grorud Il's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Skeid won against Stjordals-Blink (3-1) on 23/05/22
Then Orkla lost to Stjordals-Blink (3-6) on 18/05/22
Stjordals-Blink lost to Ranheim (0-1) on 15/05/22
Not surprisingly Asane drew with Stjordals-Blink (1-1) on 05-Aug-2022
Stjordals-Blink lost to KFUM Oslo (1-3) on 24/04/22
Mjoendalen won against Stjordals-Blink (2-1) on 19/04/22
Then Stjordals-Blink lost to Sandnes (1-2) on 04-Nov-2022
Fredrikstad drew with Stjordals-Blink (2-2) on 04-Apr-2022
Ranheim won against Stjordals-Blink (4-1) on 18/02/22
In the earliest match listed here Stjordals-Blink won against Hoedd (3-0) on 12-Apr-2021
SPORT HUANCAYO POSITION
GRORUD IL'S POSITION
Grorud is in position 13 with 5 points from 7 matches. They are below Asane who have 6 points and above Bryne FK who have 4 points.
Grorud Il have scored 9 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.
ALIANZA ATLETICO POSITION
STJORDALS-BLINK'S POSITION
Stjordals-Blink is in position 16 with 2 points from 7 matches. They are below Skeid who have 3 points and above who have points.
Stjordals-Blink have scored 7 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -7 goals this season.
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