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UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA vs NUBLENSE SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Universidad Catolica vs Nublense sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Primera Division match on 26-Aug-2021

Universidad Catolica

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DATE:

25 August 2021 at 02:00:00

Nublense

COUNTRY:

Chile

LEAGUE

Primera Division

TIME:

2:00 AM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

3.64

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

4.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Nublense is expected to outperform Universidad Catolica in this match. Home advantage may not help Universidad Catolica in this game. With odds of 4.6 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip.

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 This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.



 Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Universidad Catolica vs Nublense match. 


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 72.76% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.31% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 41.48% chance for a away win outcome. 


This Universidad Catolica vs Nublense match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 


The odds for this outcome are averagely 4.6 with an implied bookmaker probability of 21.74%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Universidad Catolica vs Nublense match is 59.85%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 38.11%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Universidad Catolica vs Nublense match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 4.6 where 4.6 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Universidad Catolica vs Nublense, EV(Away Win) to be 59.85% * 100 * 4.6, which translates to 235.15. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA vs NUBLENSE SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.85

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

32%

1.85

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.22

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

3.35

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

22%

1.84

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

3.26

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.37

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA VS NUBLENSE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Nublense and Universidad Catolica have met 6 times recently since 01-May-2014. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Nublense vs Universidad Catolica prediction.
29/03/21 - Nublense [0 : 1] Universidad Catolica
02-Feb-2015 - Universidad Catolica [2 : 1] Nublense
08-Sep-2014 - Nublense [2 : 1] Universidad Catolica
30/05/14 - Universidad Catolica [1 : 1] Nublense
26/05/14 - Nublense [1 : 0] Universidad Catolica
01-May-2014 - Nublense [1 : 2] Universidad Catolica

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Universidad Catolica's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Universidad Catolica won against Everton (2-0) on 23/08/21
Then Huachipato won against Universidad Catolica (2-1) on 16/08/21
Universidad Catolica won against Deportes La Serena (4-3) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly U de Chile won against Universidad Catolica (2-1) on 08-Jan-2021
Antofagasta won against Universidad Catolica (3-2) on 29/07/21
Universidad Catolica won against OHiggins (3-0) on 26/07/21
Then Palmeiras won against Universidad Catolica (1-0) on 22/07/21
Universidad Catolica drew with Colo-Colo (0-0) on 17/07/21
Universidad Catolica lost to Palmeiras (0-1) on 15/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Universidad Catolica lost to Everton (0-2) on 07-Mar-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Nublense's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nublense drew with Palestino (2-2) on 21/08/21
Union Espanola won against Nublense (3-2) on 08-Aug-2021
Then Nublense drew with OHiggins (0-0) on 08-Mar-2021
U de Chile drew with Nublense (1-1) on 30/07/21
Nublense drew with Antofagasta (0-0) on 24/07/21
Then Everton drew with Nublense (0-0) on 20/07/21
Nublense drew with Everton (1-1) on 07-Dec-2021
Everton won against Nublense (1-0) on 07-Sep-2021
Once more OHiggins lost to Nublense (2-3) on 07-May-2021
Nublense drew with OHiggins (1-1) on 07-Feb-2021

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA'S POSITION

Universidad Catolica is in position 3 with 28 points from 16 matches. They are below Union La Calera who have 31 points and above U de Chile who have 28 points.
have scored 26 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 7 goals this season.

NUBLENSE'S POSITION

Nublense is in position 10 with 21 points from 16 matches. They are below Deportes La Serena who have 21 points and above Union Espanola who have 21 points.
Nublense have scored 22 goals and conceded 18 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

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