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MAINZ vs GREUTHER FURTH PREDICTION

A detailed Mainz vs Greuther Furth OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany, Bundesliga match on 28-Aug-2021

Mainz

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Greuther Furth

DATE:

28 August 2021 at 16:30:00

TIME:

4:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Germany

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LEAGUE

Bundesliga

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

4.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.09803921568627 with an implied bookmaker probability of 91.07%. 


Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Mainz vs Greuther Furth match is 70.77%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -20.30%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Mainz vs Greuther Furth match is 48.48 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. 


Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Mainz vs Greuther Furth. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Mainz vs Greuther Furth match. 

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Mainz Vs Greuther Furth Prediction


Poisson prediction model shows there is a 81.04% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 72.08% chance for the same. Finally, 59.20% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.

MAINZ vs GREUTHER FURTH PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

47%

AVR. ODDS:

1.69

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

2.05

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.68

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

2.07

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

2.95

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

74%

AVR. ODDS:

1.54

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

MAINZ VS GREUTHER FURTH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Greuther Furth and Mainz have met 6 times recently since 12-May-2008. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Greuther Furth vs Mainz prediction.
26/10/16 - Greuther Furth [2 : 1] Mainz
15/11/13 - Greuther Furth [0 : 3] Mainz
26/01/13 - Greuther Furth [0 : 3] Mainz
31/08/12 - Mainz [0 : 1] Greuther Furth
17/05/09 - Greuther Furth [0 : 2] Mainz
12-May-2008 - Mainz [0 : 1] Greuther Furth

MAINZ LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Mainz's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bochum won against Mainz (2-0) on 21/08/21
Then Mainz won against Leipzig (1-0) on 15/08/21
Elversberg lost to Mainz (7-8) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly Mainz won against Genoa (3-2) on 31/07/21
Mainz won against Gaziantep (1-0) on 27/07/21
Liverpool won against Mainz (1-0) on 23/07/21
Then Mainz won against Wurzburg (2-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Wolfsburg lost to Mainz (2-3) on 22/05/21
Mainz lost to Dortmund (1-3) on 16/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Frankfurt drew with Mainz (1-1) on 05-Sep-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Greuther Furth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Greuther Furth drew with Bielefeld (1-1) on 21/08/21
Stuttgart won against Greuther Furth (5-1) on 14/08/21
Then Babelsberg won against Greuther Furth (5-4) on 08-Jul-2021
Hoffenheim drew with Greuther Furth (2-2) on 24/07/21
Ingolstadt drew with Greuther Furth (1-1) on 17/07/21
Then Wurzburg won against Greuther Furth (1-0) on 14/07/21
Greuther Furth lost to B. Munich II (0-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Greuther Furth won against Dusseldorf (3-2) on 23/05/21
Once more Paderborn lost to Greuther Furth (2-4) on 16/05/21
Greuther Furth drew with Karlsruhe (2-2) on 05-Aug-2021

MAINZ'S POSITION

Mainz is in position 11 with 3 points from 2 matches. They are below Stuttgart who have 3 points and above Union Berlin who have 2 points.
have scored 1 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

GREUTHER FURTH'S POSITION

Greuther Furth is in position 15 with 1 points from 2 matches. They are below Frankfurt who have 1 points and above Mgladbach who have 1 points.
Greuther Furth have scored 2 goals and conceded 6 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

MAINZ'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

GREUTHER FURTH'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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