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FJOLNIR vs UMF GRINDAVIK HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Fjolnir vs Umf Grindavik HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Iceland, 1 deildmatch on 28-Jul-2021

Fjolnir

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DATE:

28 July 2021 at 22:15:00

Umf Grindavik

COUNTRY:

Iceland

LEAGUE

1 deild

TIME:

10:15 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.03

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.93

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Fjolnir vs Umf Grindavik match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 48.40% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 50.49% chance for the same. Finally, 52.78% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.03 with an implied bookmaker probability of 49.26%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Fjolnir vs Umf Grindavik match is 50.56%, then this bet is a value bet. 


If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 1.30%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Fjolnir vs Umf Grindavik match is 53.18 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Strong recent and past performances that Fjolnir have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. 


Umf Grindavik might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.

FJOLNIR vs UMF GRINDAVIK HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

55%

2.75

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

4.91

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

1.41

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

58%

2.7

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

2.47

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

78%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FJOLNIR VS UMF GRINDAVIK LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Grindavik and Fjolnir have met 6 times recently since 09-Sep-2013. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Grindavik vs Fjolnir prediction.
21/05/21 - Grindavik [0 : 2] Fjolnir
16/09/18 - Grindavik [0 : 1] Fjolnir
14/06/18 - Fjolnir [0 : 1] Grindavik
30/09/17 - Grindavik [2 : 1] Fjolnir
17/07/17 - Fjolnir [4 : 0] Grindavik
09-Sep-2013 - Grindavik [0 : 4] Fjolnir

FJOLNIR LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Fjolnir's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fjolnir won against Throttur R (3-1) on 22/07/21
Then Grotta won against Fjolnir (2-1) on 15/07/21
Fjolnir won against Selfoss (2-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Not surprisingly IF Vestri won against Fjolnir (2-1) on 07-Apr-2021
Fjolnir drew with Kordrengir (0-0) on 07-Jan-2021
Fjolnir lost to Thor A (0-3) on 26/06/21
Then Augnablik lost to Fjolnir (1-4) on 23/06/21
Vestmannaeyjar won against Fjolnir (1-0) on 18/06/21
Fjolnir won against Vikingur O (2-1) on 06-Oct-2021
In the earliest match listed here Afturelding drew with Fjolnir (2-2) on 06-Mar-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Umf Grindavik's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Vestmannaeyjar won against Grindavik (4-1) on 23/07/21
Grindavik drew with Thor A (2-2) on 16/07/21
Then Vikingur O drew with Grindavik (2-2) on 07-Sep-2021
Grindavik drew with Afturelding (3-3) on 07-May-2021
Fram R drew with Grindavik (2-2) on 07-Jan-2021
Then Kordrengir drew with Grindavik (1-1) on 25/06/21
Thor A won against Grindavik (2-1) on 22/06/21
Grindavik won against Grotta (3-1) on 18/06/21
Once more Throttur R lost to Grindavik (2-3) on 06-Oct-2021
Grindavik won against Selfoss (1-0) on 06-Mar-2021

FJOLNIR'S POSITION

Fjolnir is in position 4 with 20 points from 13 matches. They are below Kordrengir who have 22 points and above who have points.
have scored 17 goals and conceded 15 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

UMF GRINDAVIK'S POSITION

Grindavik is in position 5 with 20 points from 13 matches. They are below who have points and above Thor A who have 19 points.
Umf Grindavik have scored 25 goals and conceded 26 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

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