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WEST HAM vs RACING GENK SURE PREDICTION

A detailed West Ham vs Racing Genk sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, UEFA Europa League match on 21-Oct-2021

West Ham

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Racing Genk

DATE:

21 October 2021 at 22:00:00

TIME:

10:00 PM

COUNTRY:

International Clubs

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LEAGUE

UEFA Europa League

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

59%

AVR. ODDS:

1.34

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

5.18

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

8.16

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this West Ham vs Racing Genk match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 70.58% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. 


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 75.23% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 78.95% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. 



This West Ham vs Racing Genk match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 



The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.03267973856209 with an implied bookmaker probability of 96.84%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this West Ham vs Racing Genk match is 74.92%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. 



In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -21.92%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this West Ham vs Racing Genk match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.03267973856209 where 1.03267973856209 are the decimal odds for this outcome. 



Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for West Ham vs Racing Genk, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 74.92% * 100 * 1.03, which translates to 52.28. 



This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. 



Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for West Ham vs Racing Genk. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

WEST HAM vs RACING GENK SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44%

AVR. ODDS:

1.83

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

55%

AVR. ODDS:

1.88

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.03

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

4.05

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

1.58

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.23

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

2.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

WEST HAM VS RACING GENK LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

WEST HAM LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are West Ham's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Everton lost to West Ham (0-1) on 17/10/21
Then West Ham lost to Brentford (1-2) on 10-Mar-2021
West Ham won against Rapid (2-0) on 30/09/21
Not surprisingly Leeds United lost to West Ham (1-2) on 25/09/21
Man Utd lost to West Ham (0-1) on 22/09/21
West Ham lost to Man Utd (1-2) on 19/09/21
Then Dinamo Zagreb lost to West Ham (0-2) on 16/09/21
Southampton drew with West Ham (0-0) on 09-Nov-2021
West Ham drew with Crystal Palace (2-2) on 28/08/21
In the earliest match listed here West Ham won against Leicester (4-1) on 23/08/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Racing Genk's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Charleroi won against Genk (2-0) on 17/10/21
Eupen won against Genk (3-2) on 10-Mar-2021
Then Genk lost to Dinamo Zagreb (0-3) on 30/09/21
Genk won against Seraing (3-0) on 26/09/21
Antwerp won against Genk (4-2) on 22/09/21
Then St. Truidense lost to Genk (1-2) on 19/09/21
Rapid lost to Genk (0-1) on 16/09/21
Genk drew with Union Gilloise (1-1) on 09-Dec-2021
Once more Genk won against Anderlecht (1-0) on 29/08/21
Genk won against Oud-Heverlee (4-0) on 14/08/21

WEST HAM'S POSITION

West Ham is in position 1 with 6 points from 2 matches. They are below who have points and above Dinamo Zagreb who have 3 points.
have scored 4 goals and conceded 0 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

RACING GENK'S POSITION

Genk is in position 3 with 3 points from 2 matches. They are below who have points and above Rapid who have 0 points.
Racing Genk have scored 1 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

WEST HAM'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

RACING GENK'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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