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UNION ESPANOLA vs HUACHIPATO SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Union Espanola vs Huachipato sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Premier Division match on 28-Jul-2021

Union Espanola

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Huachipato

DATE:

28 July 2021 at 22:30:00

TIME:

10:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Chile

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LEAGUE

Primera Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

2.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

3.59

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Union Espanola vs Huachipato match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.82% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 51.13% probability for the same outccome. 


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 45.20% chance for a away win outcome. This Union Espanola vs Huachipato match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.02 with an implied bookmaker probability of 33.11%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Union Espanola vs Huachipato match is 50.05%, meaning this bet is a value bet. 


In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 16.94%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Union Espanola vs Huachipato match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 3.02 where 3.02 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Union Espanola vs Huachipato, EV(Away Win) to be 50.05% * 100 * 3.02, which translates to 101.2.


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.Huachipato is expected to outperform Union Espanola in this match. Home advantage may not help Union Espanola in this game. With odds of 3.02 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.

UNION ESPANOLA vs HUACHIPATO SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

70%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

2.27

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

11%

AVR. ODDS:

3.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

2.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

2.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

1.6

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

UNION ESPANOLA VS HUACHIPATO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Huachipato and Union Espanola have met 6 times recently since 27/08/17. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Huachipato vs Union Espanola prediction.
19/01/21 - Huachipato [4 : 1] Union Espanola
16/03/20 - Union Espanola [4 : 4] Huachipato
16/03/19 - Union Espanola [2 : 1] Huachipato
28/07/18 - Huachipato [1 : 1] Union Espanola
21/04/18 - Union Espanola [2 : 1] Huachipato
27/08/17 - Huachipato [0 : 1] Union Espanola

UNION ESPANOLA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Union Espanola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Everton won against Union Espanola (2-0) on 24/07/21
Then Union Espanola won against Magallanes (1-0) on 07-Dec-2021
Magallanes lost to Union Espanola (0-1) on 07-Sep-2021
Not surprisingly Union Espanola lost to Puerto Montt (2-3) on 27/06/21
Puerto Montt lost to Union Espanola (0-2) on 23/06/21
Union Espanola drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Then Curico lost to Union Espanola (1-2) on 29/05/21
Union Espanola won against Universidad Catolica (3-2) on 23/05/21
OHiggins lost to Union Espanola (1-4) on 05-Aug-2021
In the earliest match listed here Union Espanola drew with Audax (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Huachipato's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Huachipato drew with Deportes La Serena (0-0) on 25/07/21
Audax drew with Huachipato (3-3) on 20/07/21
Then Palestino won against Huachipato (2-0) on 15/07/21
Huachipato won against Temuco (2-0) on 07-May-2021
Temuco drew with Huachipato (2-2) on 07-Jan-2021
Then Huachipato won against San Antonio Unido (3-2) on 26/06/21
San Antonio Unido drew with Huachipato (0-0) on 23/06/21
Huachipato drew with Everton (0-0) on 06-Jun-2021
Once more Antofagasta won against Huachipato (1-0) on 31/05/21
Huachipato lost to San Lorenzo (0-3) on 27/05/21

UNION ESPANOLA'S POSITION

Union Espanola is in position 11 with 15 points from 11 matches. They are below Antofagasta who have 16 points and above Melipilla who have 15 points.
have scored 15 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.

HUACHIPATO'S POSITION

Huachipato is in position 15 with 9 points from 11 matches. They are below Cobresal who have 12 points and above Curico who have 6 points.
Huachipato have scored 11 goals and conceded 15 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.

UNION ESPANOLA'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

HUACHIPATO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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