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Sure Cowdenbeath vs Stirling prediction - Half time-full time

Cowdenbeath vs Stirling prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Cowdenbeath vs Stirling are playing on 04-Dec-21

Cowdenbeath

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Stirling

DATE:

4 December 2021 at 18:00:00

TIME:

6:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Scotland

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LEAGUE

League Two

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.24

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.49

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

2.06

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Cowdenbeath and Stirling will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Cowdenbeath and Stirling have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless.

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The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.21% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 57.51% probability for the same outccome.


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.81% chance for a ng outcome. This Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.09 with an implied bookmaker probability of 47.85%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match is 58.51%, meaning this bet is a value bet.


In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 10.66%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 2.09 where 2.09 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Cowdenbeath vs Stirling, EV(NG) to be 58.51% * 100 * 2.09, which translates to 80.78.


This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Cowdenbeath vs Stirling. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 67.48% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 62.38% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 56.60% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.2 with an implied bookmaker probability of 83.33%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match is 62.15%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -21.18%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Cowdenbeath vs Stirling match is calculated as follows:


Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.2 where 1.2 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Cowdenbeath vs Stirling, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 62.15% * 100 * 1.2, which translates to 36.73. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Sure Cowdenbeath vs Stirling prediction - Half time-full time

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

41%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

59%

AVR. ODDS:

2.01

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.23

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

3.35

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

1.84

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

65%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

3.23

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

83%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

COWDENBEATH VS STIRLING PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Stirling and Cowdenbeath have met 6 times recently since 08-Oct-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Stirling vs Cowdenbeath prediction.
25/09/21 - Stirling [4 : 0] Cowdenbeath
17/04/21 - Cowdenbeath [1 : 5] Stirling
12-Dec-2020 - Stirling [1 : 0] Cowdenbeath
15/02/20 - Cowdenbeath [1 : 4] Stirling
29/10/19 - Stirling [0 : 0] Cowdenbeath
08-Oct-2019 - Cowdenbeath [1 : 0] Stirling

COWDENBEATH'S LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Cowdenbeath's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Forfar won against Cowdenbeath (3-0) on 20/11/21
Then Elgin City won against Cowdenbeath (1-0) on 13/11/21
Cowdenbeath lost to Kelty Hearts (0-1) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Annan won against Cowdenbeath (1-0) on 30/10/21
Cowdenbeath lost to Civil Service Strollers (2-4) on 23/10/21
Cowdenbeath lost to Stenhousemuir (0-2) on 16/10/21
Then Edinburgh City drew with Cowdenbeath (1-1) on 10-Jan-2021
Stirling won against Cowdenbeath (4-0) on 25/09/21
Cowdenbeath drew with Forfar (1-1) on 18/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Albion Rovers won against Cowdenbeath (2-1) on 09-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Cowdenbeath's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Stirling won against Tranent Juniors (4-0) on 27/11/21
Then Stirling lost to Edinburgh City (1-2) on 20/11/21
Albion Rovers won against Stirling (1-0) on 13/11/21
Not surprisingly Stirling lost to Stenhousemuir (1-3) on 11-Jun-2021
Kelty Hearts drew with Stirling (1-1) on 30/10/21
Berwick lost to Stirling (1-2) on 23/10/21
Then Stirling drew with Stranraer (1-1) on 16/10/21
Elgin City lost to Stirling (0-2) on 10-Feb-2021
Stirling won against Cowdenbeath (4-0) on 25/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Edinburgh City drew with Stirling (2-2) on 17/09/21

COWDENBEATH POSITION

Cowdenbeath is in position 10 with 6 points from 14 matches. They are below Elgin City who have 13 points.

Cowdenbeath have scored 9 goals and conceded 25 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -16 goals this season.

STIRLING POSITION

Stirling is in position 3 with 21 points from 14 matches. They are below Forfar who have 26 points and above Edinburgh City who have 21 points.
Stirling have scored 21 goals and conceded 17 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

COWDENBEATH BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

STIRLING BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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