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SPORTING BRAGA vs FC MIDTJYLLAND SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, UEFA Europa League match on 30-Sep-2021

Sporting Braga

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Fc Midtjylland

DATE:

30 September 2021 at 22:00:00

TIME:

10:00 PM

COUNTRY:

International Clubs

Brescia logo.png

LEAGUE

UEFA Europa League

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

2.19

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.19

VALUEBET?

No

AWAY WIN:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

3.44

VALUEBET?

Yes

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 53.92% probability for a GG outcome. 


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 62.76% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.60% chance for a gg outcome. 


This Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.71 with an implied bookmaker probability of 58.48%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match is 60.76%, meaning this bet is a value bet. 


In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 2.28%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.71 where 1.71 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Sporting Braga vs Fc Midtjylland, EV(GG) to be 60.76% * 100 * 1.71, which translates to 64.65. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Sporting Braga and Fc Midtjylland have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 


I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

SPORTING BRAGA vs FC MIDTJYLLAND SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.71

VALUEBET?

Yes

NO GOAL:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.02

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.24

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 1.5:

17%

AVR. ODDS:

3.29

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 2.5:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

No

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

3.33

VALUEBET?

Yes

UNDER 3.5:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.35

VALUEBET?

No

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

SPORTING BRAGA VS FC MIDTJYLLAND LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

SPORTING BRAGA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Sporting Braga's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Santa Clara Azores drew with Braga (1-1) on 26/09/21
Then Braga won against Tondela (3-1) on 20/09/21
Crvena Zvezda won against Braga (2-1) on 16/09/21
Not surprisingly Pacos Ferreira drew with Braga (0-0) on 09-Nov-2021
Braga drew with Guimaraes (0-0) on 29/08/21
Moreirense lost to Braga (2-3) on 20/08/21
Then Braga lost to Sporting Lisbon (1-2) on 14/08/21
Maritimo Madeira lost to Braga (0-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Sporting Lisbon won against Braga (2-1) on 31/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Braga won against Pacos Ferreira (2-1) on 24/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Fc Midtjylland's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Midtjylland won against Randers (1-0) on 26/09/21
Kjellerup lost to Midtjylland (0-5) on 22/09/21
Then Copenhagen lost to Midtjylland (0-1) on 19/09/21
Midtjylland drew with Ludogorets (1-1) on 16/09/21
Midtjylland won against Nordsjaelland (2-0) on 09-Oct-2021
Then Broendby won against Midtjylland (2-0) on 29/08/21
Midtjylland won against Silkeborg (3-0) on 20/08/21
Sonderjyske lost to Midtjylland (0-2) on 13/08/21
Once more Midtjylland lost to Eindhoven (0-1) on 08-Oct-2021
Midtjylland won against Vejle (4-1) on 08-Jun-2021

SPORTING BRAGA'S POSITION

Currently no position listed

FC MIDTJYLLAND'S POSITION

Currently no position listed

SPORTING BRAGA'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

FC MIDTJYLLAND'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available

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