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REAL OVIEDO vs SPORTING GIJON UNDER 3.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon UNDER 3.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Segunda Divisionmatch on 09-Oct-2021

Real Oviedo

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Sporting Gijon

DATE:

8 October 2021 at 22:00:00

TIME:

10:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Spain

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LEAGUE

Segunda Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

2.77

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

2.97

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

2.72

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The odds for Under 3.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.14179104477612 with an implied bookmaker probability of 87.58%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Under 3.5 outcome for this Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon match is 70.85%, then this bet is not a value bet.




If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -16.73%The expected value for a UNDER 3.5 prediction is denoted as EV(UNDER 3.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 




By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a UNDER 3.5 in this Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon match is 51.74 which is positive and therefore a good bet.All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible under 3.5 in this Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 76.92% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 70.91% chance for the same. 




Finally, 64.72% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in under 3.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a under 3.5 in this game. In as much as Real Oviedo and Sporting Gijon are expected to score some goals in this match, I do not see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals. 




They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine.

REAL OVIEDO vs SPORTING GIJON UNDER 3.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

51%

AVR. ODDS:

1.97

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.54

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

2.78

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

51%

AVR. ODDS:

2.35

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

1.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

4.12

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.14

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

REAL OVIEDO VS SPORTING GIJON LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Gijon and Oviedo have met 6 times recently since 17/11/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Gijon vs Oviedo prediction.
17/04/21 - Gijon [0 : 1] Oviedo
10-Nov-2020 - Oviedo [1 : 0] Gijon
22/06/20 - Gijon [0 : 1] Oviedo
17/11/19 - Oviedo [0 : 0] Gijon
24/03/19 - Gijon [1 : 0] Oviedo
17/11/18 - Oviedo [2 : 1] Gijon

REAL OVIEDO LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Real Oviedo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Zaragoza drew with Oviedo (0-0) on 10-Feb-2021
Then Oviedo drew with Girona (0-0) on 26/09/21
Ibiza drew with Oviedo (1-1) on 18/09/21
Not surprisingly Oviedo won against Cartagena (2-0) on 09-Dec-2021
Huesca lost to Oviedo (1-2) on 09-Jun-2021
Oviedo drew with Tenerife (0-0) on 28/08/21
Then Almeria won against Oviedo (2-1) on 20/08/21
Oviedo drew with Lugo (2-2) on 15/08/21
Oviedo lost to Leonesa (1-2) on 28/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Oviedo won against Majadahonda (2-0) on 21/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Sporting Gijon's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Amorebieta drew with Gijon (1-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Gijon won against Malaga (2-1) on 26/09/21
Then Eibar won against Gijon (3-2) on 19/09/21
Gijon won against Leganes (2-1) on 09-Oct-2021
Girona lost to Gijon (1-2) on 09-Mar-2021
Then Gijon won against Mirandes (2-1) on 28/08/21
Tenerife drew with Gijon (0-0) on 21/08/21
Gijon won against Burgos (1-0) on 15/08/21
Once more Gijon won against Gijon Industrial (7-0) on 22/07/21
Gijon lost to Almeria (0-2) on 30/05/21

REAL OVIEDO'S POSITION

Oviedo is in position 7 with 11 points from 8 matches. They are below Las Palmas who have 13 points and above Ibiza who have 11 points.
have scored 8 goals and conceded 6 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

SPORTING GIJON'S POSITION

Gijon is in position 2 with 17 points from 8 matches. They are below Almeria who have 18 points and above Ponferradina who have 16 points.
Sporting Gijon have scored 12 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

REAL OVIEDO'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Real Oviedo's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Samuel Obeng - The Ghana National Samuel Obeng has scored 3 goals in 7 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.43.

Borja Baston - The Spain National Borja Baston has scored 2 goals in 7 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.29.

Gaston Brugman - The Uruguay National Gaston Brugman has scored 1 goals in 5 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.2.

Viti - The Spain National Viti has scored 1 goals in 8 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.13.


SPORTING GIJON'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Sporting Gijon players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Fran Villalba - The Spain National Fran Villalba has scored 3 goals in 8 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.38.

Uros Djurdjevic - The Serbia National Uros Djurdjevic has scored 2 goals in 7 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.29.

Gaspar Campos - The Spain National Gaspar Campos has scored 2 goals in 8 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.25.

Marc Valiente - The Spain National Marc Valiente has scored 1 goals in 7 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.14.

Aitor - The Spain National Aitor has scored 1 goals in 8 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.13.

Jean-Sylvain Babin - The Martinique National Jean-Sylvain Babin has scored 1 goals in 8 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.13.

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