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OSNABRUCK vs BORUSSIA DORTMUND II SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany, 3rd Liga match on 25-Aug-2021

Osnabruck

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Borussia Dortmund Ii

DATE:

25 August 2021 at 20:00:00

TIME:

8:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Germany

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LEAGUE

3rd Liga

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

2.19

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

3.15

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match, we are well convinced that Osnabruck is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Borussia Dortmund Ii.


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The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips.


Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match. 



The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 72.65% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.47% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 49.91% chance for a home win outcome. This Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 



The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.19 with an implied bookmaker probability of 45.66%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match is 61.34%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 15.68%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.19 where 2.19 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Osnabruck vs Borussia Dortmund Ii, EV(Home Win) to be 61.34% * 100 * 2.19, which translates to 95.67. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

OSNABRUCK vs BORUSSIA DORTMUND II SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

44%

AVR. ODDS:

1.65

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

56%

AVR. ODDS:

2.11

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.94

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

3.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

74%

AVR. ODDS:

1.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

OSNABRUCK VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND II LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Dortmund Ii and Osnabruck have met 6 times recently since 12-Jan-2012. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Dortmund Ii vs Osnabruck prediction.
07-Aug-2017 - Dortmund II [3 : 0] Osnabruck
18/04/15 - Osnabruck [1 : 1] Dortmund II
18/10/14 - Dortmund II [2 : 2] Osnabruck
14/12/13 - Dortmund II [1 : 2] Osnabruck
26/07/13 - Osnabruck [1 : 0] Dortmund II
12-Jan-2012 - Dortmund II [1 : 1] Osnabruck

OSNABRUCK LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Osnabruck's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Wurzburg drew with Osnabruck (1-1) on 22/08/21
Then Osnabruck lost to Duisburg (0-1) on 18/08/21
Osnabruck lost to Wiesbaden (0-1) on 14/08/21
Not surprisingly Osnabruck won against Bremen (2-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Saarbrucken lost to Osnabruck (1-2) on 31/07/21
Osnabruck won against Lotte (9-0) on 27/07/21
Then Osnabruck lost to Groningen (0-1) on 17/07/21
Osnabruck drew with Eindhoven (0-0) on 07-Oct-2021
TUS Bersenbruck lost to Osnabruck (0-7) on 26/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Osnabruck won against Ingolstadt (3-1) on 30/05/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Borussia Dortmund Ii's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dortmund II drew with Saarbrucken (0-0) on 21/08/21
Freiburg II lost to Dortmund II (2-5) on 13/08/21
Then Dortmund II drew with Mannheim (1-1) on 31/07/21
Zwickau lost to Dortmund II (1-2) on 24/07/21
Wuppertal lost to Dortmund II (1-2) on 06-May-2021
Then Dortmund II won against Bergisch Gladbach (3-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Dortmund II drew with Homberg (2-2) on 29/05/21
Rodinghausen drew with Dortmund II (0-0) on 26/05/21
Once more SV Straelen lost to Dortmund II (1-3) on 23/05/21
Dortmund II drew with Schalke 04 (3-3) on 24/04/21

OSNABRUCK'S POSITION

Osnabruck is in position 14 with 4 points from 4 matches. They are below 1860 Munich who have 5 points and above Kaiserslautern who have 4 points.
have scored 3 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.

BORUSSIA DORTMUND II'S POSITION

Dortmund II is in position 3 with 8 points from 4 matches. They are below Viktoria Berlin who have 9 points and above Wiesbaden who have 8 points.
Borussia Dortmund Ii have scored 8 goals and conceded 4 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

OSNABRUCK'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

BORUSSIA DORTMUND II'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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