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NEWPORT vs SOUTHAMPTON HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Newport vs Southampton HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, EFL Cupmatch on 25-Aug-2021

Newport

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Southampton

DATE:

27 August 2021 at 21:45:00

TIME:

9:45 PM

COUNTRY:

England

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LEAGUE

EFL Cup

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

5.19

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.79

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Newport vs Southampton match is 209.15 which is positive and therefore a good bet.The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 5.19 with an implied bookmaker probability of 19.27%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Newport vs Southampton match is 49.94%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 30.68%Strong recent and past performances that Newport have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Southampton might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Newport vs Southampton match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 39.55% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 50.17% chance for the same. Finally, 60.12% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game.
NEWPORT vs SOUTHAMPTON HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

55%

AVR. ODDS:

1.79

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.92

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

1.94

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

3.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

68%

AVR. ODDS:

1.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

NEWPORT VS SOUTHAMPTON LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

NEWPORT LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Newport's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Tranmere lost to Newport County (0-1) on 21/08/21
Then Mansfield won against Newport County (2-1) on 14/08/21
Ipswich lost to Newport County (0-1) on 08-Oct-2021
Not surprisingly Oldham lost to Newport County (0-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Cardiff won against Newport County (2-0) on 31/07/21
Chippenham lost to Newport County (1-2) on 20/07/21
Then Llanelli Town won against Newport County (5-0) on 16/07/21
Morecambe won against Newport County (1-0) on 31/05/21
Forest Green won against Newport County (4-3) on 23/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Newport County won against Forest Green (2-0) on 18/05/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Southampton's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Southampton drew with Man Utd (1-1) on 22/08/21
Everton won against Southampton (3-1) on 14/08/21
Then Southampton lost to Bilbao (1-3) on 08-Jul-2021
Southampton won against Levante (1-0) on 08-Apr-2021
Cardiff lost to Southampton (0-4) on 27/07/21
Then West Ham won against Southampton (3-0) on 23/05/21
Southampton lost to Leeds United (0-2) on 18/05/21
Southampton won against Fulham London (3-1) on 15/05/21
Once more Southampton won against Crystal Palace (3-1) on 05-Nov-2021
Liverpool won against Southampton (2-0) on 05-Aug-2021

NEWPORT'S POSITION

No position listed

SOUTHAMPTON'S POSITION

No position listed

NEWPORT'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

SOUTHAMPTON'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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