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LA SERENA vs AUDAX ITALIANO SURE PREDICTION

A detailed La Serena vs Audax Italiano sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Primera Division match on 26-Aug-2021

La Serena

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Audax Italiano

DATE:

26 August 2021 at 21:00:00

TIME:

9:00 PM

COUNTRY:

Chile

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LEAGUE

Primera Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

2.59

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.22

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

2.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both La Serena and Audax Italiano have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 

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I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this La Serena vs Audax Italiano match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 50.81% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 67.23% probability for the same outccome. 


The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 76.54% chance for a gg outcome. This La Serena vs Audax Italiano match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 


The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.81 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.25%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this La Serena vs Audax Italiano match is 64.86%, meaning this bet is a value bet. 


In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.61%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this La Serena vs Audax Italiano match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.81 where 1.81 are the decimal odds for this outcome. 


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for La Serena vs Audax Italiano, EV(GG) to be 64.86% * 100 * 1.81, which translates to 82.24. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

LA SERENA vs AUDAX ITALIANO SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

65%

AVR. ODDS:

1.81

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

34%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.32

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

3.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

64%

AVR. ODDS:

2.02

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

1.71

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

44%

AVR. ODDS:

3.54

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

LA SERENA VS AUDAX ITALIANO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

LA SERENA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are La Serena's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Santiago Wanderers drew with Deportes La Serena (2-2) on 21/08/21
Then Deportes La Serena lost to Union La Calera (1-2) on 14/08/21
Universidad Catolica won against Deportes La Serena (4-3) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly Deportes La Serena drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 08-Feb-2021
Huachipato drew with Deportes La Serena (0-0) on 25/07/21
Deportes La Serena won against Palestino (4-3) on 20/07/21
Then Colo-Colo won against Deportes La Serena (4-0) on 07-May-2021
Deportes La Serena lost to Colo-Colo (1-3) on 07-Jan-2021
Deportes La Serena won against D. Colina (5-0) on 27/06/21
In the earliest match listed here D. Colina lost to Deportes La Serena (1-2) on 23/06/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Audax Italiano's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Curico drew with Audax (2-2) on 22/08/21
Audax won against Santiago Wanderers (1-0) on 14/08/21
Then Antofagasta lost to Audax (0-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Audax lost to Everton (0-2) on 28/07/21
Colo-Colo drew with Audax (1-1) on 25/07/21
Then Audax drew with Huachipato (3-3) on 20/07/21
Audax won against Magallanes (3-0) on 07-May-2021
Magallanes won against Audax (4-0) on 30/06/21
Once more Palestino lost to Audax (0-2) on 15/06/21
Nublense won against Audax (1-0) on 06-Aug-2021

LA SERENA'S POSITION

Deportes La Serena is in position 9 with 21 points from 16 matches. They are below Cobresal who have 22 points and above Nublense who have 21 points.
have scored 24 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.

AUDAX ITALIANO'S POSITION

Audax is in position 5 with 28 points from 16 matches. They are below U de Chile who have 28 points and above Antofagasta who have 23 points.
Audax Italiano have scored 18 goals and conceded 13 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 5 goals this season.

LA SERENA'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

AUDAX ITALIANO'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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