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ESPANYOL vs ALAVES HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Espanyol vs Alaves HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Primera Divisionmatch on 22-Sep-2021

Espanyol

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Alaves

DATE:

22 September 2021 at 20:30:00

TIME:

8:30 PM

COUNTRY:

Spain

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LEAGUE

Primera Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

No

DRAW:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

3.48

VALUEBET?

Yes

AWAY WIN:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

4.84

VALUEBET?

No

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Strong recent and past performances that Espanyol have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. 



Alaves might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. 



See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Espanyol vs Alaves match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 43.96% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 47.66% chance for the same. Finally, 51.92% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. 



This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.78 with an implied bookmaker probability of 56.18%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Espanyol vs Alaves match is 47.85%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -8.33%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 



By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Espanyol vs Alaves match is 33.01 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

ESPANYOL vs ALAVES HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

33%

AVR. ODDS:

2.18

VALUEBET?

No

NO GOAL:

67%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.51

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 1.5:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

2.82

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

2.31

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 2.5:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.55

VALUEBET?

Yes

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

12%

AVR. ODDS:

4.05

VALUEBET?

No

UNDER 3.5:

88%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Yes

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ESPANYOL VS ALAVES LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Espanyol and Alaves have met 6 times recently since 11-Apr-2017. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Espanyol vs Alaves prediction.
13/06/20 - Espanyol [2 : 0] Alaves
25/08/19 - Alaves [0 : 0] Espanyol
13/04/19 - Espanyol [2 : 1] Alaves
09-Feb-2018 - Alaves [2 : 1] Espanyol
04-Jan-2018 - Espanyol [0 : 0] Alaves
11-Apr-2017 - Alaves [1 : 0] Espanyol

ESPANYOL LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Espanyol's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Real Betis drew with Espanyol (2-2) on 19/09/21
Then Espanyol lost to Atletico (1-2) on 09-Dec-2021
Mallorca won against Espanyol (1-0) on 27/08/21
Not surprisingly Espanyol drew with Villarreal (0-0) on 21/08/21
Osasuna drew with Espanyol (0-0) on 14/08/21
Fiorentina won against Espanyol (4-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Cadiz lost to Espanyol (0-2) on 30/07/21
Granada drew with Espanyol (1-1) on 27/07/21
Espanyol lost to Vallecano (0-2) on 24/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Las Palmas won against Espanyol (1-0) on 21/07/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Alaves's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Alaves lost to Osasuna (0-2) on 18/09/21
Sevilla won against Alaves (1-0) on 09-Sep-2021
Then Valencia won against Alaves (3-0) on 27/08/21
Alaves lost to Mallorca (0-1) on 21/08/21
Alaves lost to Real Madrid (1-4) on 14/08/21
Then Levante lost to Alaves (0-1) on 08-Jun-2021
Alaves won against Al-Nasr (4-3) on 08-Jun-2021
Alaves lost to Elche (0-1) on 31/07/21
Once more Alaves won against Mirandes (1-0) on 28/07/21
Real Sociedad won against Alaves (3-1) on 24/07/21

ESPANYOL'S POSITION

Espanyol is in position 16 with 3 points from 5 matches. They are below Levante who have 4 points and above Granada who have 2 points.
have scored 3 goals and conceded 5 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

ALAVES'S POSITION

Alaves is in position 20 with 0 points from 4 matches. They are below Getafe who have 0 points and above who have points.
Alaves have scored 1 goals and conceded 10 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -9 goals this season.

ESPANYOL'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available for the moment

ALAVES'S BEST PLAYERS

Players not available for the moment

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