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COVENTRY vs NORTHAMPTON OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Coventry vs Northampton OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, EFL Cupmatch on 11-Aug-2021

Coventry

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Northampton

DATE:

11 August 2021 at 21:45:00

TIME:

9:45 PM

COUNTRY:

England

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LEAGUE

EFL Cup

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.95

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

41%

AVR. ODDS:

5.2

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Coventry vs Northampton match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 71.01% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 71.05% chance for the same. Finally, 71.04% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. 


The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Coventry vs Northampton match is 53.2 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.15686274509804 with an implied bookmaker probability of 86.44%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Coventry vs Northampton match is 71.03%, then this bet is not a value bet.



If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -15.41%Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Coventry vs Northampton. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

COVENTRY vs NORTHAMPTON OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.89

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

54%

AVR. ODDS:

1.94

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

3.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

76%

AVR. ODDS:

1.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

COVENTRY VS NORTHAMPTON LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Northampton and Coventry have met 6 times recently since 21/07/09. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Northampton vs Coventry prediction.
07-Dec-2019 - Northampton [1 : 1] Coventry
28/01/17 - Northampton [3 : 0] Coventry
10-Apr-2016 - Coventry [3 : 1] Northampton
27/08/16 - Coventry [1 : 1] Northampton
11-Jul-2015 - Coventry [1 : 2] Northampton
21/07/09 - Northampton [1 : 2] Coventry

COVENTRY LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Coventry's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Coventry won against Nottingham (2-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Then Coventry lost to Wolverhampton (1-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Mansfield won against Coventry (1-0) on 27/07/21
Not surprisingly Cheltenham won against Coventry (2-0) on 24/07/21
Sevilla won against Coventry (4-0) on 17/07/21
Coventry won against Millwall (6-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Then Huddersfield drew with Coventry (1-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Coventry lost to Preston (0-1) on 24/04/21
Stoke lost to Coventry (2-3) on 21/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Coventry won against Barnsley (2-0) on 18/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Northampton's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Northampton won against Port Vale (1-0) on 08-Jul-2021
Cambridge drew with Northampton (0-0) on 31/07/21
Then Northampton won against Birmingham (3-2) on 24/07/21
Stamford won against Northampton (2-1) on 17/07/21
Northampton lost to West Ham (1-2) on 13/07/21
Then Sunderland drew with Northampton (1-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Northampton lost to Blackpool (0-3) on 05-Jan-2021
Gillingham drew with Northampton (2-2) on 24/04/21
Once more Northampton won against Ipswich (3-0) on 20/04/21
Peterborough won against Northampton (3-1) on 16/04/21

COVENTRY'S POSITION

No position listed

NORTHAMPTON'S POSITION

No position listed

COVENTRY'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

NORTHAMPTON'S BEST PLAYERS

No notable players

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