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Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc Prediction

Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc are playing on �Ecuador

Barcelona Sc

Lecce logo.jpg

Cumbaya Fc

DATE:

30 May 2022 at 03:00:00

TIME:

3:00 AM

COUNTRY:

Ecuador

Brescia logo.png

LEAGUE

Serie A, Primera

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.35

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

4.77

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

12%

AVR. ODDS:

8.34

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

HOME WIN TIPS

To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.04 with an implied bookmaker probability of 49.02%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is 50.50%, meaning this bet is a value bet.


In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 1.48%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.04 where 2.04 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc, EV(Home Win) to be 50.50% * 100 * 2.04, which translates to 53.5. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.86% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 77.54% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 87.87% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.


This Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.42 with an implied bookmaker probability of 70.09%.


The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is 74.09%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.00%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is calculated as follows:


Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.42 where 1.42 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 74.09% * 100 * 1.42, which translates to 79.79. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

28%

AVR. ODDS:

2.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.65

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.17

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

3.18

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

3.07

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

78%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BARCELONA SC VS CUMBAYA FC PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

UNION ESPANOLA VS UNION LA CALERA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Union Espanola and Union La Calera have met 6 times recently since 18/05/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Union Espanola vs Union La Calera prediction.
30/08/21 - Union Espanola [2 : 1] Union La Calera
04-Mar-2021 - Union La Calera [1 : 0] Union Espanola
15/11/20 - Union Espanola [3 : 2] Union La Calera
02-Jan-2020 - Union La Calera [1 : 0] Union Espanola
08-Mar-2019 - Union Espanola [1 : 1] Union La Calera
18/05/19 - Union La Calera [1 : 2] Union Espanola

BARCELONA SC'S LAST 10 MATCHES

UNION ESPANOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Union Espanola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Coquimbo lost to Union Espanola (2-4) on 21/05/22
Then Union Espanola won against Antofagasta (2-0) on 14/05/22
O�Higgins drew with Union Espanola (2-2) on 05-Jul-2022
Not surprisingly Union Espanola drew with Cobresal (2-2) on 27/04/22
Deportes La Serena lost to Union Espanola (1-2) on 15/04/22
Union Espanola won against Colo-Colo (2-1) on 04-Nov-2022
Then Audax lost to Union Espanola (0-1) on 04-Apr-2022
U de Chile won against Union Espanola (2-0) on 27/03/22
Union Espanola won against Nublense (1-0) on 22/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Antofagasta won against Union Espanola (4-1) on 18/03/22

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

UNION ESPANOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Union Espanola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Union La Calera won against Uni Catolica (3-2) on 25/05/22
Then Union La Calera drew with Deportes La Serena (1-1) on 22/05/22
Santos won against Union La Calera (1-0) on 19/05/22
Not surprisingly Universidad Catolica won against Union La Calera (3-0) on 14/05/22
Union La Calera won against Audax (1-0) on 05-Oct-2022
Banfield lost to Union La Calera (0-1) on 05-Jun-2022
Then Union La Calera drew with Santos (1-1) on 29/04/22
Coquimbo won against Union La Calera (3-2) on 25/04/22
Union La Calera drew with O�Higgins (0-0) on 19/04/22
In the earliest match listed here Union La Calera won against Banfield (1-0) on 15/04/22

BARCELONA SC POSITION

UNION ESPANOLA'S POSITION
Union Espanola is in position 3 with 28 points from 14 matches. They are below Nublense who have 28 points and above Curico who have 22 points.
Union Espanola have scored 21 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 7 goals this season.

CUMBAYA FC POSITION

UNION LA CALERA'S POSITION
Union La Calera is in position 13 with 13 points from 14 matches. They are below Universidad Catolica who have 16 points and above Coquimbo who have 12 points.
Union La Calera have scored 8 goals and conceded 18 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -10 goals this season.

BARCELONA SC BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

CUMBAYA FC BEST PLAYERS

No player analysis.

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