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ALMERIA vs REAL SOCIEDAD B HOME WINS SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Almeria vs Real Sociedad B HOME WINS sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Segunda Divisionmatch on 21-Oct-2021

Almeria

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Real Sociedad B

DATE:

21 October 2021 at 19:45:00

TIME:

7:45 PM

COUNTRY:

Spain

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LEAGUE

Segunda Division

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.52

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

4.09

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

17%

AVR. ODDS:

6.19

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Almeria vs Real Sociedad B match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 41.15% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 50.50% chance for the same. Finally, 63.20% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.52 with an implied bookmaker probability of 65.79%. 


Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Almeria vs Real Sociedad B match is 51.62%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -14.17%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Almeria vs Real Sociedad B match is 30.07 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Strong recent and past performances that Almeria have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. 



Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Real Sociedad B might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. 



True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. 



It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.

ALMERIA vs REAL SOCIEDAD B HOME WINS SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

28%

AVR. ODDS:

2.06

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

72%

AVR. ODDS:

1.68

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.26

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

3.24

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

1.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

73%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

13%

AVR. ODDS:

3.39

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

87%

AVR. ODDS:

1.33

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ALMERIA VS REAL SOCIEDAD B LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Currently no head to head

ALMERIA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Almeria's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Eibar won against Almeria (1-0) on 15/10/21
Then Almeria drew with Las Palmas (1-1) on 10-Sep-2021
Girona lost to Almeria (1-2) on 10-Apr-2021
Not surprisingly Almeria won against Tenerife (3-1) on 24/09/21
Alcorcon lost to Almeria (0-4) on 17/09/21
Ponferradina won against Almeria (1-0) on 09-Dec-2021
Then Almeria won against Malaga (2-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Amorebieta won against Almeria (2-1) on 29/08/21
Almeria won against Oviedo (2-1) on 20/08/21
In the earliest match listed here Cartagena lost to Almeria (1-3) on 16/08/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Real Sociedad B's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Real Sociedad B drew with Oviedo (1-1) on 17/10/21
Real Sociedad B drew with Ponferradina (1-1) on 10-Oct-2021
Then Alcorcon lost to Real Sociedad B (1-4) on 10-Feb-2021
Real Sociedad B lost to Huesca (0-2) on 24/09/21
Zaragoza drew with Real Sociedad B (1-1) on 18/09/21
Then Real Sociedad B lost to Eibar (2-3) on 09-Nov-2021
Cartagena won against Real Sociedad B (1-0) on 09-Apr-2021
Real Sociedad B drew with Fuenlabrada (0-0) on 29/08/21
Once more Lugo drew with Real Sociedad B (0-0) on 21/08/21
Real Sociedad B won against Leganes (1-0) on 14/08/21

ALMERIA'S POSITION

Almeria is in position 2 with 19 points from 10 matches. They are below Gijon who have 21 points and above Ponferradina who have 18 points.
have scored 18 goals and conceded 9 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 9 goals this season.

REAL SOCIEDAD B'S POSITION

Real Sociedad B is in position 15 with 11 points from 10 matches. They are below Lugo who have 12 points and above Ibiza who have 11 points.
Real Sociedad B have scored 10 goals and conceded 10 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.

ALMERIA'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Almeria's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Umar Sadiq - The Nigeria National Umar Sadiq has scored 6 goals in 10 matches and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.19's average goals per match is 0.6.

Largie Ramazani - The Belgium National Largie Ramazani has scored 3 goals in 9 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The 0.15's average goals per match is 0.33.

Lucas Robertone - The Argentina National Lucas Robertone has scored 2 goals in 8 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The 0.33's average goals per match is 0.25.

Pozo - The Spain National Pozo has scored 1 goals in 7 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.14.

Francisco Portillo - The Spain National Francisco Portillo has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

Jose Carlos Lazo - The Spain National Jose Carlos Lazo has scored 1 goals in 9 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

REAL SOCIEDAD B'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Real Sociedad B players are crucial in determining the results of this game:

Xeber Alkain - The Spain National Xeber Alkain has scored 4 goals in 9 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.44.

Jon Karrikaburu - The Spain National Jon Karrikaburu has scored 3 goals in 8 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.38.

Jon Ander Olasagasti - The Spain National Jon Ander Olasagasti has scored 2 goals in 4 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.5.

Jon Magunacelaya - The Spain National Jon Magunacelaya has scored 1 goals in 4 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.25.


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