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Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone prediction

Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone are playing on Scotland

Aberdeen

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St. Johnstone

DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

TIME:

10:45 PM

COUNTRY:

Scotland

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LEAGUE

Premiership

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

60%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

3.47

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

11%

AVR. ODDS:

5.35

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Aberdeen and St. Johnstone will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Aberdeen and St. Johnstone have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 80.19% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 79.78% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 81.87% chance for a ng outcome. This Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.87 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.48%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match is 80.61%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 27.14%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.87 where 1.87 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone, EV(NG) to be 80.61% * 100 * 1.87, which translates to 131.35. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Aberdeen vs St. Johnstone prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

24%

AVR. ODDS:

2.36

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

76%

AVR. ODDS:

1.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.63

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

4.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

24%

AVR. ODDS:

2.45

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

76%

AVR. ODDS:

1.76

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

4.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

91%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ABERDEEN VS ST. JOHNSTONE PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

ABERDEEN VS ST. JOHNSTONE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
St Johnstone and Aberdeen have met 6 times recently since 20/08/20. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the St Johnstone vs Aberdeen prediction.
12-Nov-2021 - St Johnstone [0 : 1] Aberdeen
18/09/21 - Aberdeen [0 : 1] St Johnstone
04-Oct-2021 - St Johnstone [0 : 1] Aberdeen
27/01/21 - St Johnstone [0 : 0] Aberdeen
26/12/20 - Aberdeen [2 : 1] St Johnstone
20/08/20 - St Johnstone [0 : 1] Aberdeen

ABERDEEN'S LAST 10 MATCHES

ABERDEEN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Aberdeen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Motherwell won against Aberdeen (2-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Aberdeen lost to Celtic (2-3) on 02-Sep-2022
Livingston won against Aberdeen (2-1) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Ross County drew with Aberdeen (1-1) on 02-Jan-2022
St. Mirren won against Aberdeen (1-0) on 25/01/22
Aberdeen won against Edinburgh City (3-0) on 22/01/22
Then Aberdeen drew with Rangers (1-1) on 18/01/22
Aberdeen won against Dundee (2-1) on 26/12/21
Hibernian won against Aberdeen (1-0) on 22/12/21
In the earliest match listed here St Johnstone lost to Aberdeen (0-1) on 12-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

ABERDEEN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Aberdeen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
St. Mirren won against St Johnstone (2-1) on 02-Sep-2022
Then St Johnstone drew with Dundee United (0-0) on 02-May-2022
Livingston lost to St Johnstone (1-2) on 02-Jan-2022
Not surprisingly St Johnstone drew with Dundee (0-0) on 26/01/22
Kelty Hearts won against St Johnstone (1-0) on 22/01/22
Heart of Midlothian won against St Johnstone (2-0) on 18/01/22
Then St Johnstone lost to Celtic (1-3) on 26/12/21
St Johnstone lost to Ross County (1-2) on 22/12/21
Motherwell won against St Johnstone (2-0) on 18/12/21
In the earliest match listed here Rangers won against St Johnstone (2-0) on 15/12/21

ABERDEEN POSITION

ABERDEEN'S POSITION
Aberdeen is in position 9 with 29 points from 25 matches. They are below Livingston who have 30 points and above Ross County who have 27 points.
Aberdeen have scored 30 goals and conceded 32 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

ST. JOHNSTONE POSITION

ABERDEEN BEST PLAYERS

ABERDEEN'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Aberdeen's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Christian Ramirez - The USA National Christian Ramirez has scored 10 goals in 25 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.

Lewis Ferguson - The Scotland National Lewis Ferguson has scored 6 goals in 23 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.26.

Marley Watkins - The Wales National Marley Watkins has scored 3 goals in 14 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.21.

Teddy Jenks - The England National Teddy Jenks has scored 2 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.15.

Ryan Hedges - The Wales National Ryan Hedges has scored 2 goals in 16 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.13.

Scott Brown - The Scotland National Scott Brown has scored 2 goals in 22 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.09.

ST. JOHNSTONE BEST PLAYERS

ST. JOHNSTONE'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are St. Johnstone's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:

Chris Kane - The Scotland National Chris Kane has scored 3 goals in 18 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.

Callum Hendry - The Scotland National Callum Hendry has scored 2 goals in 7 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.29.

Ali Crawford - The Scotland National Ali Crawford has scored 2 goals in 18 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

Stevie May - The Scotland National Stevie May has scored 2 goals in 22 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.09.

Jacob Luke Butterfield - The England National Jacob Luke Butterfield has scored 1 goals in 9 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.

Michael O'Halloran - The Scotland National Michael O'Halloran has scored 1 goals in 17 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.06.

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